Spike bucket
09/23/2026, 2:30:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/23/2026, 2:30:00 A.M. to 09/23/2026, 2:31:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 8,097.75
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 62% of explained volume
Relative context
0.7x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
13
Observable rows
13
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
19
Asset volume
8,097.75 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x007eDbFD3C19ffe74A9a1726Da916a730388Fb05 • 0x000284FD8Df039CFF2949b62D854dc43c2Eae6E1.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 8098 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x007eDbFD3C19ffe74A9a1726Da916a730388Fb05 • 0x000284FD8Df039CFF2949b62D854dc43c2Eae6E1.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 13 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/23/2026, 2:30:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 13 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x007eDbFD3C19ffe74A9a1726Da916a730388Fb05
Balanced
Unknown type
5,009.01 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x000284FD8Df039CFF2949b62D854dc43c2Eae6E1
Net receiver
Unknown type
5,000 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
1,581.33 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
936.18 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x004c676bc4BcBB906C7749583764104Ee25aEAAD
Net receiver
Unknown type
827.75 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
18 tx
17,037.77 QUAI • 38 addresses
09/23/2026, 2:29:47 A.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/23/2026, 2:28:30 A.M.
+1 min
13 tx
8,097.75 QUAI • 30 addresses
09/23/2026, 2:31:00 A.M.
+2 min
16 tx
9,009.58 QUAI • 32 addresses
09/23/2026, 2:32:13 A.M.
-3 min
13 tx
11,509.2 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/23/2026, 2:27:17 A.M.
+3 min
13 tx
14,700.75 QUAI • 27 addresses
09/23/2026, 2:33:26 A.M.
-4 min
9 tx
9,515.63 QUAI • 28 addresses
09/23/2026, 2:26:04 A.M.
-5 min
Best candidate14 tx
21,506.88 QUAI • 27 addresses
09/23/2026, 2:24:51 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
5,000 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/23/2026, 2:30:45 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x007eDbFD3C19ffe74A9a1726Da916a730388Fb05
To: 0x000284FD8Df039CFF2949b62D854dc43c2Eae6E1
All transfers in this selected minute
13 transactions
5,000 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/23/2026, 2:30:45 A.M.
From: 0x007eDbFD3C19ffe74A9a1726Da916a730388Fb05
To: 0x000284FD8Df039CFF2949b62D854dc43c2Eae6E1
Tx: 0x001e0045250446220717518f6953f654480f7cc49275ff31741865fcb154add6
61.88 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/23/2026, 2:30:45 A.M.
From: 0x00374FD6D10461B3D50a616173a3fE16eCd5B44c
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x004a00017e38429fd3deae8db9e664a7916764d1ac8719ff94911162ccdd1c3c
295.41 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/23/2026, 2:30:45 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0051B5cDcf4f8e98c8D7BE45548C2Ca93f57a611
Tx: 0x001300760a94888e161ae5bf519562eaf6bd76174ebd04ca39b3080555f23a62
237.83 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/23/2026, 2:30:45 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x003f4F6Dd8234B6e0Ae76c25296d6D3d987C8541
Tx: 0x0027003a7ca36f99468c02c3da0f93ce9f98a6b1e3e860c446044e469ccb79f0
9.01 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/23/2026, 2:30:14 A.M.
From: 0x0071Ab695c3A54Efec15e64DE1Dee5047ce42702
To: 0x007eDbFD3C19ffe74A9a1726Da916a730388Fb05
Tx: 0x0004002dff3c32cf5c1e343809289867e432811e327e754a552ad70871c473d8
67.02 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/23/2026, 2:30:14 A.M.
From: 0x007ec137A2Cb6D9A046273cB172461AF47a0eCe8
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x0036007567d5d4b19e5dab8e9d014b46eb6e744a7e95d40f9e3b85f76e95aa49
458.17 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/23/2026, 2:30:14 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x004f8411bABfC122BB6CD9665C885D4e049ED49f
Tx: 0x005a0027c53a634406e9b5600f5503b979d1aff9760af0fd7e64436d59cd7a31
592.59 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/23/2026, 2:30:14 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x003F4dc3382E25ee9Ad4cBE107271b773Bc78aee
Tx: 0x002d0026b660e4b727a2f112368e3a5c692e7da4b303e25a506855bed50bf165
49.17 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/23/2026, 2:30:04 A.M.
From: 0x002921A58F4b88B5B6782B8b369120393Ef27b26
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x004c0001168ef7221e143143d386522ce8172dfb981eea0b7a750684f7a6e0c7
76.94 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/23/2026, 2:30:04 A.M.
From: 0x005679FC95ee7eA46D81D91eE6c59A9344a4AC11
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x00060077d77279ec8d001e34a7cbf7b5208900d9c857b0dc6ae495f3c10de17c
827.75 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/23/2026, 2:30:04 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x004c676bc4BcBB906C7749583764104Ee25aEAAD
Tx: 0x0017000811f7417e5508c697b0b713795b09a04fd5b30471f5b91894efcf8fdb
105.75 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/23/2026, 2:30:04 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x003F08D446081727C9324D3A618109CF05AaC075
Tx: 0x0015007a744fde52eaa87290267b69ec6e3d4fc9802aa40d0cf71bad15f22792
316.23 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/23/2026, 2:30:04 A.M.
From: 0x0043486d89F5C5176015614d759CBe17d4F2FE16
To: 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
Tx: 0x00310025a75722902588ad84eb3dee1eb4d7dffc36cf0ba826f2404902cccebb