Spike bucket
09/23/2026, 2:29:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/23/2026, 2:29:00 A.M. to 09/23/2026, 2:30:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
37% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 6,366.86
Unexplained QUAI: 10,670.92
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 79% of explained volume
Relative context
1.5x above local average
1.5x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
18
Observable rows
4
22.2% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
38
Asset volume
17,037.77 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0071Ab695c3A54Efec15e64DE1Dee5047ce42702 • 0x007eDbFD3C19ffe74A9a1726Da916a730388Fb05.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 17038 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0071Ab695c3A54Efec15e64DE1Dee5047ce42702 • 0x007eDbFD3C19ffe74A9a1726Da916a730388Fb05.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/23/2026, 2:29:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (63% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (37%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0071Ab695c3A54Efec15e64DE1Dee5047ce42702
Net sender
Unknown type
5,000 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x007eDbFD3C19ffe74A9a1726Da916a730388Fb05
Net receiver
Unknown type
5,000 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
694.63 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004bFB9fC645c836F200B60b7D4e3Ac2efde2ac3
Net receiver
Unknown type
694.63 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
626.93 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
0 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/23/2026, 2:28:30 A.M.
+1 min
18 tx
17,037.77 QUAI • 38 addresses
09/23/2026, 2:29:47 A.M.
-2 min
13 tx
11,509.2 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/23/2026, 2:27:17 A.M.
+2 min
13 tx
8,097.75 QUAI • 30 addresses
09/23/2026, 2:31:00 A.M.
-3 min
9 tx
9,515.63 QUAI • 28 addresses
09/23/2026, 2:26:04 A.M.
+3 min
16 tx
9,009.58 QUAI • 32 addresses
09/23/2026, 2:32:13 A.M.
-4 min
Best candidate14 tx
21,506.88 QUAI • 27 addresses
09/23/2026, 2:24:51 A.M.
+4 min
13 tx
14,700.75 QUAI • 27 addresses
09/23/2026, 2:33:26 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
5,000 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/23/2026, 2:29:21 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0071Ab695c3A54Efec15e64DE1Dee5047ce42702
To: 0x007eDbFD3C19ffe74A9a1726Da916a730388Fb05
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
5,000 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/23/2026, 2:29:21 A.M.
From: 0x0071Ab695c3A54Efec15e64DE1Dee5047ce42702
To: 0x007eDbFD3C19ffe74A9a1726Da916a730388Fb05
Tx: 0x005d000a595c02425749a89b7f70d63a7c5ebe7ceae9a9e6c658c863558754b6
45.3 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/23/2026, 2:29:21 A.M.
From: 0x003596A67E27c316a9DFAb62271be0F9e38C9171
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x0052003c3eca924a77ad11c24cc8e3bcbf7eede021758f2b775688ce4807b9b8
626.93 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/23/2026, 2:29:21 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x003e6167f7fAF8F2596e03849Ea647889010Af90
Tx: 0x00250041f8f1cb2a45da9b10bd1421c3750226cd685bf60dfcc4671e6bdc3d86
694.63 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/23/2026, 2:29:21 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x004bFB9fC645c836F200B60b7D4e3Ac2efde2ac3
Tx: 0x007d0044ddd4bb52ee92b71697156e915c0df6b483c362811318645e5a4f73ee