Spike bucket
09/23/2026, 2:22:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/23/2026, 2:22:00 A.M. to 09/23/2026, 2:23:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
12% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 5,510.16
Unexplained QUAI: 38,970.18
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 77% of explained volume
Relative context
1.7x above local average
2.7x previous minute
0.7x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
13
Observable rows
6
46.2% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
29
Asset volume
44,480.33 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x00230718C8a7718Fd7ACCC99Cf515d0CcD22df09.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 44480 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 50
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x00230718C8a7718Fd7ACCC99Cf515d0CcD22df09.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/23/2026, 2:22:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (88% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (12%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net sender
Exchange
4,237.6 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
0x00230718C8a7718Fd7ACCC99Cf515d0CcD22df09
Net receiver
Unknown type
4,237.6 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
968.88 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x003562fca1121F1B3275f0c6D1F82a0Cd1fed6A9
Net receiver
Unknown type
655.53 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0034F71E0b2B37467BEc63dfE5ae1F5065c297C3
Net receiver
Unknown type
313.36 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 4,237.6 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
13 tx
44,480.33 QUAI • 29 addresses
09/23/2026, 2:22:25 A.M.
-1 min
20 tx
16,445.7 QUAI • 35 addresses
09/23/2026, 2:21:12 A.M.
-2 min
14 tx
9,863.34 QUAI • 25 addresses
09/23/2026, 2:19:59 A.M.
+2 min
Best candidate31 tx
63,405.19 QUAI • 44 addresses
09/23/2026, 2:23:38 A.M.
-3 min
16 tx
8,453.69 QUAI • 30 addresses
09/23/2026, 2:18:46 A.M.
+3 min
14 tx
21,506.88 QUAI • 27 addresses
09/23/2026, 2:24:51 A.M.
-4 min
43 tx
36,434.74 QUAI • 59 addresses
09/23/2026, 2:17:33 A.M.
+4 min
9 tx
9,515.63 QUAI • 28 addresses
09/23/2026, 2:26:04 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
4,237.6 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/23/2026, 2:22:42 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
To: 0x00230718C8a7718Fd7ACCC99Cf515d0CcD22df09
All transfers in this selected minute
6 transactions
655.53 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/23/2026, 2:22:56 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x003562fca1121F1B3275f0c6D1F82a0Cd1fed6A9
Tx: 0x0012004e035148d81a639eb9037c5b4d3e6409d9871a1480318a338fcb4ab4fb
102.09 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/23/2026, 2:22:56 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0040157C1BdC5a7887c3616fEa4118Cf8728F850
Tx: 0x0016001139475747455b2986e1743744cddf4bccfd8220cbcf15d7395f07c486
33.35 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/23/2026, 2:22:42 A.M.
From: 0x006d6f94092Ef4da38ccF4a5Fcaf42578be48833
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x00130028d8f3cfa8eaf1a970319b62c02d279342ad47e69720ec825d61aa1186
313.36 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/23/2026, 2:22:42 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0034F71E0b2B37467BEc63dfE5ae1F5065c297C3
Tx: 0x002f00646f3b0b0b4e15f9d5dcf4377b9d4f9a7956959f4254ce0c32fbaa6e73
168.23 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/23/2026, 2:22:42 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x004003427678c4BdB9B86d27a7a9b6569D85A263
Tx: 0x0040002f2e90a03568b9a774726b9ec636c95e31db9b812b32e422e09501be02
4,237.6 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/23/2026, 2:22:42 A.M.
From: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
To: 0x00230718C8a7718Fd7ACCC99Cf515d0CcD22df09
Tx: 0x001d000e668b37f1607a679f324520c8ec60f6a7297d7125f4e9d7abe351abc7