Spike bucket
09/23/2026, 2:20:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/23/2026, 2:20:00 A.M. to 09/23/2026, 2:21:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 13,062.17
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 61% of explained volume
Relative context
0.5x above local average
1.5x previous minute
0.8x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
12
Observable rows
12
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
15
Asset volume
13,062.17 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x002c4df557BaBFc9F734fa3E5a3b00cf091017c7.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 13062 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x002c4df557BaBFc9F734fa3E5a3b00cf091017c7.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 12 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/23/2026, 2:20:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 12 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
9,181.81 QUAI across 4 visible rows
0x002c4df557BaBFc9F734fa3E5a3b00cf091017c7
Net receiver
Unknown type
7,972.86 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
3,023.46 QUAI across 4 visible rows
0x0038F100cDd3e9Fb74f518FC9D0C19cB35e5457b
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,632.47 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
Net sender
Unknown type
856.9 QUAI across 4 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
14 tx
9,863.34 QUAI • 25 addresses
09/23/2026, 2:19:59 A.M.
-1 min
16 tx
8,453.69 QUAI • 30 addresses
09/23/2026, 2:18:46 A.M.
+1 min
20 tx
16,445.7 QUAI • 35 addresses
09/23/2026, 2:21:12 A.M.
-2 min
43 tx
36,434.74 QUAI • 59 addresses
09/23/2026, 2:17:33 A.M.
+2 min
13 tx
44,480.33 QUAI • 29 addresses
09/23/2026, 2:22:25 A.M.
-4 min
32 tx
24,338.45 QUAI • 47 addresses
09/23/2026, 2:16:18 A.M.
+4 min
Best candidate31 tx
63,405.19 QUAI • 44 addresses
09/23/2026, 2:23:38 A.M.
-5 min
24 tx
21,942.77 QUAI • 42 addresses
09/23/2026, 2:15:05 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
7,972.86 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/23/2026, 2:20:08 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x002c4df557BaBFc9F734fa3E5a3b00cf091017c7
All transfers in this selected minute
12 transactions
820.72 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/23/2026, 2:20:37 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0031E81c0896ea730C55dE1ae6a882C688c0E4E1
Tx: 0x00300021ca87d9ad6e80704503f9069b8a837be20331cf172e244c1af6b8bbdc
779.27 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/23/2026, 2:20:37 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x003AbD43E562Af0b727B8D7A0f771646004e6286
Tx: 0x001b0059e40bd971fd17fe347c04ad9829c230813dfa3b3c39138a6f9401487e
328.12 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/23/2026, 2:20:37 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x007576c9F2c1919603d6Ca290Cff6592a098C259
Tx: 0x0019001db129ae19b55938a4aac67c9a3e83b12c87f10ba061c9274df5ac2346
132.08 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/23/2026, 2:20:33 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x002ec84eaF6Af705072F5E89e2C20f22c94EaB13
Tx: 0x00020045fa02839833005e4a8e60b792a7336c6f07b014904c60bb9138b45482
1,632.47 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/23/2026, 2:20:33 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0038F100cDd3e9Fb74f518FC9D0C19cB35e5457b
Tx: 0x0004002b7fd611513a219f86c72412de8e80b1ce9f05f6d9014a20da2e6c9d67
125.6 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/23/2026, 2:20:33 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x007193723AAd343838F2FAD85aAC6Df072b08E11
Tx: 0x0052001faf24d4a927272dd93c296bb5c5ded70ed2f41cc602471b2ea055a42a
302.17 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/23/2026, 2:20:23 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x006f8ad5513be8BCDAcD85d3c2560CC8FE348912
Tx: 0x002d001564a876507ee0d8823a70f01255bc5b3ec34bb7fccdc1284ac63d4ab1
256.15 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/23/2026, 2:20:23 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x002E825b4AC890AD61FdaA2205CF518E501f5deE
Tx: 0x004300587c4eb14b25bcafa84edbde0e06b798aa32a7641fb46e3a9d30b998ac
254.31 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/23/2026, 2:20:23 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x003892F4E565E6d8c0494f4bdf524029173C9916
Tx: 0x0072001d245bdbe8fdc1b6e4e3153c92fbfb6ed00775b814fb2062e5c7ea0a28
7,972.86 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/23/2026, 2:20:08 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x002c4df557BaBFc9F734fa3E5a3b00cf091017c7
Tx: 0x004b003b56ced7607cd5ffa1e1096aaddaf7746ee58b943d926e7736b8fbfc48
357.41 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/23/2026, 2:20:08 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0036F1BFd8Bd051fE67e15B44a7A7B086b0A00BD
Tx: 0x003f0014c160dac6aa968dd09442a319ca91397157bd58fb7002f9c26d3f3a0f
101.01 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/23/2026, 2:20:08 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x006da86e430038348C647af027052dD73F59DDba
Tx: 0x0019007a42d9eef78633308c1566c00a4b35864c53ce81590eae934e6078bf76