Spike bucket
09/23/2026, 1:53:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/23/2026, 1:53:00 A.M. to 09/23/2026, 1:54:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
47% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 86.51
Unexplained QUAI: 97.34
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 92% of explained volume
Relative context
0.1x above local average
1.2x previous minute
4.7x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
5
Observable rows
5
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
16
Asset volume
183.85 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x002521D801561CcC0dCBf08d49EcC10bBc7d0a81 • 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 184 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x002521D801561CcC0dCBf08d49EcC10bBc7d0a81 • 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/23/2026, 1:53:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (53% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (47%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x002521D801561CcC0dCBf08d49EcC10bBc7d0a81
Net sender
Unknown type
79.51 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Net receiver
Unknown type
79.51 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001f05c64B657312C56BE8bFDbf83123286f14Ce
Net receiver
Unknown type
7 QUAI across 4 visible rows
0x0042ECBc5c3470C008E9f0C44Ff65806eDD48260
Net sender
Unknown type
2 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00046d70735c45C34D1AA8BFCE1A1D63621B40D2
Net sender
Unknown type
2 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
5 tx
183.85 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/23/2026, 1:53:21 A.M.
-1 min
3 tx
158.22 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/23/2026, 1:52:09 A.M.
-2 min
4 tx
204.46 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/23/2026, 1:50:56 A.M.
+2 min
3 tx
38.97 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/23/2026, 1:54:32 A.M.
-3 min
2 tx
719.16 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/23/2026, 1:49:44 A.M.
+3 min
Best candidate2 tx
20,080.33 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/23/2026, 1:55:45 A.M.
+4 min
3 tx
157.09 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/23/2026, 1:56:56 A.M.
-5 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/23/2026, 1:48:27 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
79.51 QUAI
Derived whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/23/2026, 1:53:14 A.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x002521D801561CcC0dCBf08d49EcC10bBc7d0a81
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
All transfers in this selected minute
5 transactions
2 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/23/2026, 1:53:44 A.M.
From: 0x0042ECBc5c3470C008E9f0C44Ff65806eDD48260
To: 0x001f05c64B657312C56BE8bFDbf83123286f14Ce
Tx: 0x0041003fb1ec60ed3b45dea0f82acbd393426d7276abd2de9ae1a9eb8aa47d63
1 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/23/2026, 1:53:32 A.M.
From: 0x005DB15bA6b0310d279bc34c93F3231d4046ea76
To: 0x001f05c64B657312C56BE8bFDbf83123286f14Ce
Tx: 0x003f0043b21530fabdd376cba36f00182bfd1e2ff3bfe996bcc76ce983d8d611
79.51 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/23/2026, 1:53:14 A.M.
From: 0x002521D801561CcC0dCBf08d49EcC10bBc7d0a81
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x004b007f46c5dc78009f7df1845cddc71360ad1ab8a7c028b2c5928595980f0f
2 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/23/2026, 1:53:14 A.M.
From: 0x00046d70735c45C34D1AA8BFCE1A1D63621B40D2
To: 0x001f05c64B657312C56BE8bFDbf83123286f14Ce
Tx: 0x00270069130da0cda5ca433610ab660b17ea06014d0552066f1339131014a6db
2 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/23/2026, 1:53:14 A.M.
From: 0x0000D5e81089c5DEb3B827949c76Cf15A948859D
To: 0x001f05c64B657312C56BE8bFDbf83123286f14Ce
Tx: 0x002d0022562aae12c3ff553a9db5d5d579f4e0833c092f79461cb0595d39e7c0