Spike bucket
09/23/2026, 1:50:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/23/2026, 1:50:00 A.M. to 09/23/2026, 1:51:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 204.46
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 46% of explained volume
Relative context
0.9x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
4
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
20
Asset volume
204.46 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e • 0x005679FC95ee7eA46D81D91eE6c59A9344a4AC11.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 204 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e • 0x005679FC95ee7eA46D81D91eE6c59A9344a4AC11.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/23/2026, 1:50:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Net receiver
Unknown type
199.46 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x005679FC95ee7eA46D81D91eE6c59A9344a4AC11
Net sender
Unknown type
94.62 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00422Db0B7172dE5aA4Dad8d17923ea23BC8fEaA
Net sender
Unknown type
54.69 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x005597d47822d26B3F3eb9546B370D4d803e8f69
Net sender
Unknown type
50.15 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002999c4154ec09FdeBab507F8a3e42618f7dB05
Net sender
Unknown type
5 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate2 tx
719.16 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/23/2026, 1:49:44 A.M.
+1 min
4 tx
204.46 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/23/2026, 1:50:56 A.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/23/2026, 1:48:27 A.M.
+2 min
3 tx
158.22 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/23/2026, 1:52:09 A.M.
-3 min
4 tx
198.34 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/23/2026, 1:47:15 A.M.
+3 min
5 tx
183.85 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/23/2026, 1:53:21 A.M.
-4 min
3 tx
239.18 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/23/2026, 1:46:03 A.M.
-5 min
2 tx
104.62 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/23/2026, 1:44:51 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
94.62 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/23/2026, 1:50:29 A.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x005679FC95ee7eA46D81D91eE6c59A9344a4AC11
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
54.69 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/23/2026, 1:50:29 A.M.
From: 0x00422Db0B7172dE5aA4Dad8d17923ea23BC8fEaA
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x003e0058c9f289bbcbdd3d5faf7943d45c93a46523fbe2986d90484a9a3b9838
50.15 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/23/2026, 1:50:29 A.M.
From: 0x005597d47822d26B3F3eb9546B370D4d803e8f69
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x00110006b9884e83df9d64971be2ac4658ff5b79d854abe2796b3d185e5c1fd4
94.62 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/23/2026, 1:50:29 A.M.
From: 0x005679FC95ee7eA46D81D91eE6c59A9344a4AC11
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x001800190021431d091be8c5a2adbed13a4ca1e8ec9414df215f6b9014199b22
5 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/23/2026, 1:50:29 A.M.
From: 0x002999c4154ec09FdeBab507F8a3e42618f7dB05
To: 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211
Tx: 0x002400459a20246b88d264167342d6cb8650f4e411532ae6d1f4b8c5cab511eb