Spike bucket
09/23/2026, 1:44:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/23/2026, 1:44:00 A.M. to 09/23/2026, 1:45:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 138.24
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 68% of explained volume
Relative context
0.5x above local average
0.6x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
18
Asset volume
104.62 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x002D61B41fE3c140AcE8Ad51A4cca7fa48a3cBdE • 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 105 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x002D61B41fE3c140AcE8Ad51A4cca7fa48a3cBdE • 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/23/2026, 1:44:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x002D61B41fE3c140AcE8Ad51A4cca7fa48a3cBdE
Net sender
Unknown type
94.62 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Net receiver
Unknown type
94.62 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Net receiver
Unknown type
43.62 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x003596A67E27c316a9DFAb62271be0F9e38C9171
Net sender
Unknown type
33.62 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006bBB685B1DD695Fd6428e07Cf78ddb3dCB1D08
Net sender
Unknown type
10 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate6 tx
469.98 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/23/2026, 1:43:39 A.M.
+1 min
2 tx
104.62 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/23/2026, 1:44:51 A.M.
-2 min
2 tx
161.09 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/23/2026, 1:42:26 A.M.
+2 min
3 tx
239.18 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/23/2026, 1:46:03 A.M.
-3 min
2 tx
172.76 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/23/2026, 1:41:15 A.M.
+3 min
4 tx
198.34 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/23/2026, 1:47:15 A.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/23/2026, 1:48:27 A.M.
-5 min
3 tx
181.61 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/23/2026, 1:38:54 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
94.62 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/23/2026, 1:44:10 A.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x002D61B41fE3c140AcE8Ad51A4cca7fa48a3cBdE
To: 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
33.62 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/23/2026, 1:44:55 A.M.
From: 0x003596A67E27c316a9DFAb62271be0F9e38C9171
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x00090022645b3e05fc12a193823e17d454195e1ae5d9c158d0221df62a74e0f4
10 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/23/2026, 1:44:10 A.M.
From: 0x006bBB685B1DD695Fd6428e07Cf78ddb3dCB1D08
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x0031001ab36d86b91d7770bd83d0b67772456cca145620fda1a7b883734d25dd
94.62 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/23/2026, 1:44:10 A.M.
From: 0x002D61B41fE3c140AcE8Ad51A4cca7fa48a3cBdE
To: 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Tx: 0x0056005421641920346d32e514ed59725bb1090f4605c5b2077d98bb52b5ff5a