Spike bucket
09/23/2026, 1:15:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/23/2026, 1:15:00 A.M. to 09/23/2026, 1:16:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 149.68
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 55% of explained volume
Relative context
0.3x above local average
0.2x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
5
Asset volume
149.68 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0053E63531C129f8678803beEb62546dF2fAD31d • 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 150 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0053E63531C129f8678803beEb62546dF2fAD31d • 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/23/2026, 1:15:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0053E63531C129f8678803beEb62546dF2fAD31d
Net sender
Unknown type
82.9 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Net receiver
Unknown type
82.9 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Net receiver
Unknown type
66.77 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x002921A58F4b88B5B6782B8b369120393Ef27b26
Net sender
Unknown type
39.35 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00790A8A273Fc05820818eFBADc78da09d591c7d
Net sender
Unknown type
27.42 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
90.56 QUAI • 7 addresses
09/23/2026, 1:14:55 A.M.
-1 min
2 tx
731.97 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/23/2026, 1:13:44 A.M.
+1 min
3 tx
149.68 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/23/2026, 1:16:07 A.M.
-2 min
7 tx
473.37 QUAI • 28 addresses
09/23/2026, 1:12:32 A.M.
+2 min
3 tx
417.98 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/23/2026, 1:17:19 A.M.
-4 min
Best candidate23 tx
1,155.05 QUAI • 35 addresses
09/23/2026, 1:11:20 A.M.
+4 min
4 tx
365.76 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/23/2026, 1:18:32 A.M.
-5 min
3 tx
122.78 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/23/2026, 1:10:07 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
82.9 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/23/2026, 1:15:51 A.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x0053E63531C129f8678803beEb62546dF2fAD31d
To: 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
82.9 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/23/2026, 1:15:51 A.M.
From: 0x0053E63531C129f8678803beEb62546dF2fAD31d
To: 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Tx: 0x007c007fd7a168f9de911cbf8c93f8d3da5c4f0f34d86591bee1d62eb1e6d33b
39.35 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/23/2026, 1:15:19 A.M.
From: 0x002921A58F4b88B5B6782B8b369120393Ef27b26
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x006e005d0efd7ec32fec2596f6e4b647cf9595ded623ba6bd6b7b68fccb4eadb
27.42 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/23/2026, 1:15:09 A.M.
From: 0x00790A8A273Fc05820818eFBADc78da09d591c7d
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x003c0074175d925277c569542db004d222c1cb86b95400a77f22b5202b191f74