Spike bucket
09/23/2026, 1:00:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/23/2026, 1:00:00 A.M. to 09/23/2026, 1:01:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 198.77
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 41% of explained volume
Relative context
0.0x above local average
1.1x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
17
Asset volume
111.88 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0 • 0x006576A80291829C0404F17D225d189045674F1D.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 112 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0 • 0x006576A80291829C0404F17D225d189045674F1D.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/23/2026, 1:00:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Net receiver
Unknown type
160.92 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x006576A80291829C0404F17D225d189045674F1D
Net sender
Unknown type
81.94 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002921A58F4b88B5B6782B8b369120393Ef27b26
Net sender
Unknown type
78.98 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x005dbdAC8b21DA4bbfdd2396F9267a634485Db66
Net sender
Unknown type
37.85 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Net receiver
Unknown type
37.85 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
2 tx
111.88 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/23/2026, 1:00:27 A.M.
-1 min
1 tx
106.41 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/23/2026, 12:59:16 A.M.
-2 min
5 tx
386.21 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/23/2026, 12:58:04 A.M.
+2 min
2 tx
116.83 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/23/2026, 1:01:40 A.M.
-3 min
3 tx
228.21 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/23/2026, 12:56:52 A.M.
+3 min
Best candidate5 tx
20,287.76 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/23/2026, 1:02:52 A.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/23/2026, 12:55:39 A.M.
+4 min
2 tx
98.95 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/23/2026, 1:04:04 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
81.94 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/23/2026, 1:00:07 A.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x006576A80291829C0404F17D225d189045674F1D
To: 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
78.98 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/23/2026, 1:00:46 A.M.
From: 0x002921A58F4b88B5B6782B8b369120393Ef27b26
To: 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Tx: 0x003e0038f877fc7ac8643ac35f71e35ad5c6e00c8e9baa431f46831d767af12f
37.85 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/23/2026, 1:00:46 A.M.
From: 0x005dbdAC8b21DA4bbfdd2396F9267a634485Db66
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x003b00549e76f80395d15248d4dbfec477a40c8ffbcbb5ba93ef685225a6991e
81.94 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/23/2026, 1:00:07 A.M.
From: 0x006576A80291829C0404F17D225d189045674F1D
To: 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Tx: 0x000c00452e737236f8a576cdb5a8896b9014097a9ae828df6290d4ea7de6512e
