Spike bucket
09/23/2026, 12:52:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/23/2026, 12:52:00 A.M. to 09/23/2026, 12:53:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 784.33
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 64% of explained volume
Relative context
0.1x above local average
0.2x previous minute
0.1x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
1
Observable rows
5
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
16
Asset volume
42.55 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x003EA2038204D1DE22E929fbcd95A62FAf5a7320 • 0x000284FD8Df039CFF2949b62D854dc43c2Eae6E1.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 43 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x003EA2038204D1DE22E929fbcd95A62FAf5a7320 • 0x000284FD8Df039CFF2949b62D854dc43c2Eae6E1.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/23/2026, 12:52:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x003EA2038204D1DE22E929fbcd95A62FAf5a7320
Net sender
Unknown type
500 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000284FD8Df039CFF2949b62D854dc43c2Eae6E1
Net receiver
Unknown type
500 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Net receiver
Unknown type
241.7 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x00422Db0B7172dE5aA4Dad8d17923ea23BC8fEaA
Net sender
Unknown type
117.16 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00752239b55ca5D2e722Fa2f5b4Dc76E9dF3db9E
Net sender
Unknown type
108.36 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
42.55 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/23/2026, 12:52:04 A.M.
-1 min
2 tx
192.06 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/23/2026, 12:50:52 A.M.
+1 min
5 tx
784.33 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/23/2026, 12:53:16 A.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/23/2026, 12:49:39 A.M.
+2 min
4 tx
270.38 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/23/2026, 12:54:28 A.M.
-4 min
Best candidate5 tx
820.49 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/23/2026, 12:48:22 A.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/23/2026, 12:55:39 A.M.
-5 min
3 tx
170.07 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/23/2026, 12:47:10 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
500 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/23/2026, 12:52:02 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x003EA2038204D1DE22E929fbcd95A62FAf5a7320
To: 0x000284FD8Df039CFF2949b62D854dc43c2Eae6E1
All transfers in this selected minute
5 transactions
117.16 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/23/2026, 12:52:49 A.M.
From: 0x00422Db0B7172dE5aA4Dad8d17923ea23BC8fEaA
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x0024004c555b08b577f329d7b15a2559748e8fe9971b0fb4bc6d47c1429918ae
42.63 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/23/2026, 12:52:49 A.M.
From: 0x003596A67E27c316a9DFAb62271be0F9e38C9171
To: 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Tx: 0x00290068b7e267b809f8b6a0459f57dd988e7f5b7c20d07708c14c9785a31abb
16.17 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/23/2026, 12:52:27 A.M.
From: 0x002921A58F4b88B5B6782B8b369120393Ef27b26
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x001a005b4f2163c96de1623a5d62b7254f756ba49c8851028eff38f4ec31d19d
108.36 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/23/2026, 12:52:02 A.M.
From: 0x00752239b55ca5D2e722Fa2f5b4Dc76E9dF3db9E
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x00210058e523e64bbf815be08c4a0a5f1ec2e15f0cb321dfa174e170e311832f
500 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/23/2026, 12:52:02 A.M.
From: 0x003EA2038204D1DE22E929fbcd95A62FAf5a7320
To: 0x000284FD8Df039CFF2949b62D854dc43c2Eae6E1
Tx: 0x00310064b862b8c7a6319a1b4a74961befc959b0d4d17dcd46efe1cbb623f2bb