Spike bucket
09/23/2026, 12:47:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/23/2026, 12:47:00 A.M. to 09/23/2026, 12:48:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
81% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 137.83
Unexplained QUAI: 32.24
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 42% of explained volume
Relative context
0.7x above local average
0.3x previous minute
0.2x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
18
Asset volume
170.07 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e • 0x002D61B41fE3c140AcE8Ad51A4cca7fa48a3cBdE.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 170 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e • 0x002D61B41fE3c140AcE8Ad51A4cca7fa48a3cBdE.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/23/2026, 12:47:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Net receiver
Unknown type
137.83 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x002D61B41fE3c140AcE8Ad51A4cca7fa48a3cBdE
Net sender
Unknown type
57.25 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x005dbdAC8b21DA4bbfdd2396F9267a634485Db66
Net sender
Unknown type
42.52 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000069691B07CC01498ECe6f69C87e89887033fc
Net sender
Unknown type
38.06 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
3 tx
170.07 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/23/2026, 12:47:10 A.M.
-1 min
7 tx
556.24 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/23/2026, 12:45:58 A.M.
+1 min
Best candidate5 tx
820.49 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/23/2026, 12:48:22 A.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/23/2026, 12:44:46 A.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/23/2026, 12:43:35 A.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/23/2026, 12:49:39 A.M.
+4 min
2 tx
192.06 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/23/2026, 12:50:52 A.M.
-5 min
2 tx
180.84 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/23/2026, 12:42:23 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
57.25 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/23/2026, 12:47:21 A.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x002D61B41fE3c140AcE8Ad51A4cca7fa48a3cBdE
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
57.25 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/23/2026, 12:47:21 A.M.
From: 0x002D61B41fE3c140AcE8Ad51A4cca7fa48a3cBdE
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x00110058d4c1953103b63e626294c39b39a4d1543595678b08d9ad11cee8d282
42.52 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/23/2026, 12:47:16 A.M.
From: 0x005dbdAC8b21DA4bbfdd2396F9267a634485Db66
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x0026000e820375a3ddeba81ea0792105b2d2f4319f4912297aa2dd5d15275ff2
38.06 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/23/2026, 12:47:16 A.M.
From: 0x000069691B07CC01498ECe6f69C87e89887033fc
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x005f0043fadde1467a48e584cf3416a509b5466145aaf547d321879aa1294d73