Spike bucket
09/23/2026, 12:24:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/23/2026, 12:24:00 A.M. to 09/23/2026, 12:25:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
52% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 115.28
Unexplained QUAI: 107.99
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 84% of explained volume
Relative context
1.4x above local average
0.7x previous minute
4.1x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
2
50.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
20
Asset volume
223.27 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e • 0x001c039f068f7EE0A76fd8A089493c6A2bced7FD.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 223 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e • 0x001c039f068f7EE0A76fd8A089493c6A2bced7FD.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Partial source coverage
Last updated: 09/23/2026, 12:24:00 A.M.
Coverage gap moderate (48% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (52%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Net receiver
Unknown type
115.28 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x001c039f068f7EE0A76fd8A089493c6A2bced7FD
Net sender
Unknown type
97.01 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00752239b55ca5D2e722Fa2f5b4Dc76E9dF3db9E
Net sender
Unknown type
18.26 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
4 tx
223.27 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/23/2026, 12:24:24 A.M.
-1 min
Best candidate5 tx
316.89 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/23/2026, 12:23:13 A.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
09/23/2026, 12:22:01 A.M.
+2 min
2 tx
54.42 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/23/2026, 12:25:36 A.M.
-3 min
2 tx
83.81 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/23/2026, 12:20:50 A.M.
+3 min
4 tx
311.36 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/23/2026, 12:26:48 A.M.
-4 min
2 tx
206.25 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/23/2026, 12:19:38 A.M.
+4 min
1 tx
42 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/23/2026, 12:28:00 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
97.01 QUAI
Derived whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/23/2026, 12:24:15 A.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x001c039f068f7EE0A76fd8A089493c6A2bced7FD
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
18.26 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/23/2026, 12:24:25 A.M.
From: 0x00752239b55ca5D2e722Fa2f5b4Dc76E9dF3db9E
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x002a007b566ba2c9320159a6635efab2f62c79a71a72542c716b095cf80c521b
97.01 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/23/2026, 12:24:15 A.M.
From: 0x001c039f068f7EE0A76fd8A089493c6A2bced7FD
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x0013000e0412b3b83fac123fec1bdf7544c6ff031f9c891308aebe48d7d526eb