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Spike bucket

09/23/2026, 12:22:00 A.M.

Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.

Window: 09/23/2026, 12:22:00 A.M. to 09/23/2026, 12:23:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 316.89
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 33% of explained volume
Relative context
Interpretation
Visible rows explain most of the spike, with no single transfer dominating.
The visible flow is broad and internally consistent.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
5
Observable rows
5
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
10
Asset volume
0 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default

Event intelligence

high priority
What happened
Top actor concentration: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e • 0x002521D801561CcC0dCBf08d49EcC10bBc7d0a81.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + high confidence + 0 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e • 0x002521D801561CcC0dCBf08d49EcC10bBc7d0a81.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/23/2026, 12:22:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
  • Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
  • Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
  • Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.

Top actors in this event

0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Net receiver
Unknown type
156 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x002521D801561CcC0dCBf08d49EcC10bBc7d0a81
Net sender
Unknown type
105.27 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Net receiver
Unknown type
105.27 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002921A58F4b88B5B6782B8b369120393Ef27b26
Net sender
Unknown type
77.83 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006170040dc9fEB7E13De687029cf833670027d6
Net sender
Unknown type
55.61 QUAI across 1 visible row

Relationship intelligence

Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI

Evidence checks

Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
  • Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
  • Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
  • Review latest signal or spike before changing status.

Autonomous outcome

Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigations

Inspect nearby minutes

Jump around the selected bucket quickly when the exact minute is sparse, delayed, or mostly aggregated.

Biggest whale alert

105.27 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/23/2026, 12:22:18 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x002521D801561CcC0dCBf08d49EcC10bBc7d0a81
To: 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0

All transfers in this selected minute

5 transactions
105.27 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/23/2026, 12:22:18 A.M.
From: 0x002521D801561CcC0dCBf08d49EcC10bBc7d0a81
To: 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Tx: 0x0033000c77e7c24a0063f07d57dd0ea690662f9ec440779b6510a90401d840fd
48.4 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/23/2026, 12:22:18 A.M.
From: 0x006576A80291829C0404F17D225d189045674F1D
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x002a0016fae95b8ba4999e0eb5f77ec4d659356b051e7fc6a92e9a0d33c2c15f
29.78 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/23/2026, 12:22:18 A.M.
From: 0x005679FC95ee7eA46D81D91eE6c59A9344a4AC11
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x00730054599430b4f18567406c326ae033baeac78a0ff2da4d908a858005d97b
77.83 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/23/2026, 12:22:18 A.M.
From: 0x002921A58F4b88B5B6782B8b369120393Ef27b26
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x006a0005bb4f04fae032c6233e123f6f5ff047866f0a5eacb4d4b9636e8d7101
55.61 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/23/2026, 12:22:18 A.M.
From: 0x006170040dc9fEB7E13De687029cf833670027d6
To: 0x0028C5534d930C7dc406cA080c6AcAa4a93a1BF6
Tx: 0x005f000f5da0d877d9759db52b504ac4ff4144ac5ececd8b55bd46e93f96b067
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