Spike bucket
09/23/2026, 12:11:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/23/2026, 12:11:00 A.M. to 09/23/2026, 12:12:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
medium confidence
100% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 672.23
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 39% of explained volume
Relative context
1.1x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by multiple visible transfers.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
17
Observable rows
7
41.2% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
34
Asset volume
649.21 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x007de96950a40303EA94BCfb04e223A095a7eb36.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + medium confidence + 649 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x007de96950a40303EA94BCfb04e223A095a7eb36.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: medium • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 visible transfer rows
Confidence medium • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/23/2026, 12:11:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
626.2 QUAI across 4 visible rows
Known watch context
0x007de96950a40303EA94BCfb04e223A095a7eb36
Net sender
Unknown type
265.04 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001D34B2650bb2D1716dd1eE877115375C540EbB
Net sender
Unknown type
139.69 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000027730178c2C1bDfa5FE22ecb72Fe3cE765c2
Net sender
Unknown type
113.96 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x005fA9BB1fDDd2B39e68a7Fb5784D9d3a32204e3
Net sender
Unknown type
107.51 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 626.2 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
17 tx
649.21 QUAI • 34 addresses
09/23/2026, 12:11:08 A.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/23/2026, 12:09:56 A.M.
+1 min
7 tx
672.23 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/23/2026, 12:12:20 A.M.
-2 min
50 tx
742.57 QUAI • 67 addresses
09/23/2026, 12:08:44 A.M.
-3 min
52 tx
1,019.68 QUAI • 67 addresses
09/23/2026, 12:07:32 A.M.
+3 min
Best candidate5 tx
1,089.27 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/23/2026, 12:13:33 A.M.
+4 min
2 tx
179.19 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/23/2026, 12:14:45 A.M.
-5 min
2 tx
180.11 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/23/2026, 12:06:18 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
265.04 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/23/2026, 12:11:12 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x007de96950a40303EA94BCfb04e223A095a7eb36
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
7 transactions
16.06 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/23/2026, 12:11:12 A.M.
From: 0x005182a1cAa86CB99209A4Ba3B3239971BEEA866
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x004d0038939a03c204e87d9d3bd01f6469d4007f788fa78279955579a7bf61da
17.53 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/23/2026, 12:11:12 A.M.
From: 0x00093Df76A2EE3Cf4A58d7C6855c1b84df891F9b
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x005a0023ac3c7ba0ad153cbbf723f8e22baca8f5373d1b47af295305418deb1f
12.45 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/23/2026, 12:11:12 A.M.
From: 0x00042ebf5e2dabBb79A67343711A89B76c7D1c49
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0070003dfe039714b669403f50e7cc658dd080313a0b02c0f3bd1e47ea26ccc3
113.96 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/23/2026, 12:11:12 A.M.
From: 0x000027730178c2C1bDfa5FE22ecb72Fe3cE765c2
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x003f00581c712fb132a3b0c815b4753816fb70d92939834f0f9ac3b51fb284e2
107.51 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/23/2026, 12:11:12 A.M.
From: 0x005fA9BB1fDDd2B39e68a7Fb5784D9d3a32204e3
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00130063723ea21972c4a8b468966e3d3c50485c3c2939910de75d0457681056
139.69 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/23/2026, 12:11:12 A.M.
From: 0x001D34B2650bb2D1716dd1eE877115375C540EbB
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x004b0014a8f3add7e9f897f8bd678397a497f7198e90b8822324018e536c9d6a
265.04 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/23/2026, 12:11:12 A.M.
From: 0x007de96950a40303EA94BCfb04e223A095a7eb36
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x001f005ae5ddbccb8016d3a1dab62e091b911849111bae41436760dd90085c9f
