Spike bucket
09/23/2026, 12:04:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/23/2026, 12:04:00 A.M. to 09/23/2026, 12:05:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 190.44
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 47% of explained volume
Relative context
0.8x above local average
2.7x previous minute
0.6x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
5
Asset volume
190.44 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e • 0x00790A8A273Fc05820818eFBADc78da09d591c7d.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 190 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e • 0x00790A8A273Fc05820818eFBADc78da09d591c7d.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/23/2026, 12:04:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Net receiver
Unknown type
100.17 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x00790A8A273Fc05820818eFBADc78da09d591c7d
Net sender
Unknown type
90.27 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00537a0527b7fAeBdB12BFFcD2481125Fb1A3ee7
Net receiver
Unknown type
90.27 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002D61B41fE3c140AcE8Ad51A4cca7fa48a3cBdE
Net sender
Unknown type
79.03 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x003596A67E27c316a9DFAb62271be0F9e38C9171
Net sender
Unknown type
21.15 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
2 tx
98.31 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/23/2026, 12:03:55 A.M.
-1 min
1 tx
71.36 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/23/2026, 12:02:43 A.M.
+1 min
5 tx
319.28 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/23/2026, 12:05:07 A.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/23/2026, 12:01:31 A.M.
+2 min
2 tx
180.11 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/23/2026, 12:06:18 A.M.
-4 min
2 tx
190.27 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/23/2026, 12:00:18 A.M.
+4 min
Best candidate52 tx
1,019.68 QUAI • 67 addresses
09/23/2026, 12:07:32 A.M.
-5 min
2 tx
80.29 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/22/2026, 11:59:06 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
90.27 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/23/2026, 12:04:54 A.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x00790A8A273Fc05820818eFBADc78da09d591c7d
To: 0x00537a0527b7fAeBdB12BFFcD2481125Fb1A3ee7
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
90.27 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/23/2026, 12:04:54 A.M.
From: 0x00790A8A273Fc05820818eFBADc78da09d591c7d
To: 0x00537a0527b7fAeBdB12BFFcD2481125Fb1A3ee7
Tx: 0x0027005d6cc883328bde4afed4259efe2e3def96e824c257835fe992c1232b88
21.15 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/23/2026, 12:04:54 A.M.
From: 0x003596A67E27c316a9DFAb62271be0F9e38C9171
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x00040023ef381cbaf76ac243a6fe79459c0b8076050f1a00ac94735af8ce5d30
79.03 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/23/2026, 12:04:15 A.M.
From: 0x002D61B41fE3c140AcE8Ad51A4cca7fa48a3cBdE
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x0065003d96c1727e817a830f58980a0b5a7d431a14f5562cbc2f26ade8dd4d73