Spike bucket
09/22/2026, 11:53:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/22/2026, 11:53:00 P.M. to 09/22/2026, 11:54:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 20,502.61
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 98% of explained volume
Relative context
0.0x above local average
0.3x previous minute
0.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
1
Observable rows
8
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
14
Asset volume
97.24 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 97 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/22/2026, 11:53:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
20,199.38 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Net sender
Unknown type
19,998.32 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0058242b842335721E733eB0E4b6F206CB48D35c
Net sender
Unknown type
201.06 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Net receiver
Unknown type
198.87 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Net receiver
Unknown type
103.02 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 20,199.38 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
97.24 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/22/2026, 11:53:05 P.M.
-1 min
3 tx
330.38 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/22/2026, 11:51:53 P.M.
+1 min
Best candidate8 tx
20,502.61 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/22/2026, 11:54:18 P.M.
-2 min
4 tx
254.39 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/22/2026, 11:50:41 P.M.
+3 min
2 tx
136.12 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/22/2026, 11:55:30 P.M.
-4 min
1 tx
19,999.03 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/22/2026, 11:49:29 P.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/22/2026, 11:56:43 P.M.
-5 min
4 tx
3,789.97 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/22/2026, 11:48:16 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
19,998.32 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 11:53:27 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
8 transactions
10 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 11:53:27 P.M.
From: 0x006bBB685B1DD695Fd6428e07Cf78ddb3dCB1D08
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x00690009c1fa6c35d4ef059fb2e8ea4180137ff16472b79148e75103b45b5751
54.1 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 11:53:27 P.M.
From: 0x006d6f94092Ef4da38ccF4a5Fcaf42578be48833
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x005a001ae9de81efdd37cccc5d189cc60c17a4ad774a52dbf67e47440aa9a775
74.41 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 11:53:27 P.M.
From: 0x0064ee78ef1634cAF9a4DD337Ec80c0Ff1045061
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x005a00696cee44afb3407a0a7f1178451ea5d05ccaadd0a05fb314de73495395
93.02 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 11:53:27 P.M.
From: 0x002D61B41fE3c140AcE8Ad51A4cca7fa48a3cBdE
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x000400720bd93ca32b15d2f29681c867f2ea5d3c70a5ec34c6c0f402cb65d793
70.37 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 11:53:27 P.M.
From: 0x00790A8A273Fc05820818eFBADc78da09d591c7d
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x0043003c66412d064b9eb17ed7d7a4b7b7fbbfbf0cec429ac6e38c82cf3e8d9b
1.34 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 11:53:27 P.M.
From: 0x000eF1ed645F16Fb1388C764Ae4f05e35625B3A6
To: 0x0008159eF6d55C4e0Ddb6D6fC8b6095a45C58144
Tx: 0x0038001e474794120167f05a015598a98b563ff1f279870e8bd68cebd22954ab
201.06 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 11:53:27 P.M.
From: 0x0058242b842335721E733eB0E4b6F206CB48D35c
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00560033a19891ec16982b05321e48e96dc8bb8da27b0f000cf127ef05b46a7f
19,998.32 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 11:53:27 P.M.
From: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x002c003092a379e88a202dd6a44f4df02bd61fb47d577bc1e3531dd974ba7fcb