Spike bucket
09/22/2026, 11:11:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/22/2026, 11:11:00 P.M. to 09/22/2026, 11:12:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
medium confidence
85% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 865.95
Unexplained QUAI: 147.3
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 13% of explained volume
Relative context
0.9x above local average
1.0x previous minute
1.2x next minute
Interpretation
Visible rows explain most of the spike, with no single transfer dominating.
The spike appears distributed, but some of the bucket still remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
27
Observable rows
15
55.6% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
43
Asset volume
1,013.25 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x00537a0527b7fAeBdB12BFFcD2481125Fb1A3ee7.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + medium confidence + 1013 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 35
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x00537a0527b7fAeBdB12BFFcD2481125Fb1A3ee7.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: medium • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 15 visible transfer rows
Confidence medium • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/22/2026, 11:11:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 15 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
531.05 QUAI across 5 visible rows
Known watch context
0x00537a0527b7fAeBdB12BFFcD2481125Fb1A3ee7
Net receiver
Unknown type
175.31 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x000a7d40a2081e7aFf84360a746784665280Ca58
Net sender
Unknown type
115.68 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00174696e81aedE1174838Cce2079DB4d6C4DCB7
Net sender
Unknown type
106.94 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00168639eAfC0f3BFA527e17917D8FCcaFfDb616
Net sender
Unknown type
104.51 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 531.05 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
27 tx
1,013.25 QUAI • 43 addresses
09/22/2026, 11:11:02 P.M.
-1 min
54 tx
1,012.4 QUAI • 70 addresses
09/22/2026, 11:09:49 P.M.
+1 min
15 tx
865.95 QUAI • 34 addresses
09/22/2026, 11:12:14 P.M.
-2 min
1 tx
39.9 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/22/2026, 11:08:36 P.M.
+2 min
Best candidate8 tx
4,714.98 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/22/2026, 11:13:27 P.M.
-4 min
54 tx
899.92 QUAI • 72 addresses
09/22/2026, 11:07:23 P.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/22/2026, 11:14:39 P.M.
-5 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/22/2026, 11:06:10 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
115.68 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 11:11:23 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x000a7d40a2081e7aFf84360a746784665280Ca58
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
15 transactions
98.02 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 11:11:47 P.M.
From: 0x00752239b55ca5D2e722Fa2f5b4Dc76E9dF3db9E
To: 0x00537a0527b7fAeBdB12BFFcD2481125Fb1A3ee7
Tx: 0x006f001e867a57edebe1df676593582912b2c42471196d69b0368a85aa149d0a
77.3 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 11:11:47 P.M.
From: 0x001DAce696Fc03C6Fc687dcF04Cbee232e28EB7b
To: 0x00537a0527b7fAeBdB12BFFcD2481125Fb1A3ee7
Tx: 0x002c0065d347af2f00f6a962a184b0b814260cde653133d2418858a11feb345a
24.05 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 11:11:23 P.M.
From: 0x003596A67E27c316a9DFAb62271be0F9e38C9171
To: 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Tx: 0x0009007c0bdc7093d51986504fa2724438deef548a56bac664a39ac147c82f76
99.53 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 11:11:23 P.M.
From: 0x006A8e4dbE2F2B780e21C8F03daD9253ca9735c1
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x004300057b3f03a7eaafd22eca0c906c90e80aabfaa3576d3b7be33df8340f97
106.94 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 11:11:23 P.M.
From: 0x00174696e81aedE1174838Cce2079DB4d6C4DCB7
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x007e001c8d52136d615e853db49a3aa81bdc55907f2bd2cdec87b1950b39cd4a
104.38 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 11:11:23 P.M.
From: 0x00734b901cF8B9d636C2E5cAAb3c38BC738AEb90
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x002d0008c10b84b892d82d6476e9c3d4d2511e3c073b2d6993d6d79a60370ea5
115.68 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 11:11:23 P.M.
From: 0x000a7d40a2081e7aFf84360a746784665280Ca58
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x001a001eb94cb33eba2c9eeebd2637d2f59326ff5651a1dc4f07eda7f1b3bd5f
104.51 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 11:11:23 P.M.
From: 0x00168639eAfC0f3BFA527e17917D8FCcaFfDb616
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x003c003ef1cb65ecf853366b0bc7b0a5f1e903347525cad760f83ae10689ca2b
0.13 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 11:11:02 P.M.
From: 0x000C325AFba59B33925234e86d22f7DeCE7a1D97
To: 0x0077aB9c0169E6B1620FaD80F4A2a70ed1E26A5E
Tx: 0x0028006983f9ea428ea446cd477876a101e7c9993da38eefb835bb29dc9099ea
43.06 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 11:11:02 P.M.
From: 0x00422Db0B7172dE5aA4Dad8d17923ea23BC8fEaA
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x000f006fb09a7e4e47fb3f2cfd807a149a6f62f42d464f2122dbd661839a9669
30.39 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 11:11:02 P.M.
From: 0x006d6f94092Ef4da38ccF4a5Fcaf42578be48833
To: 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Tx: 0x0068004051d8a204f2db97d3f896be6c61e6703f97799e161887ed0f22a63d11
12.95 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 11:11:02 P.M.
From: 0x00585160E8466d30d02Bb3b2fBE7d929ac62D556
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x004300478b7a7f27967d7799b3038663c31177b556d5ef200d324bc846e715a6
17.5 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 11:11:02 P.M.
From: 0x002F091677EfB69cA85F15551592764A575C3AeA
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0040005b0ce20513e24d273cf93dc53fdb2f1a73990acbeb8c6121fb9e2f5ddf
15.68 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 11:11:02 P.M.
From: 0x00066741f695e71E8745E667645044989d5C7Af1
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0012006a15b8e418b43101658888e90aa7f19c7b389d1027b38b280bbc221451
15.84 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 11:11:02 P.M.
From: 0x00570Ada40BFabECe2047797D415bB02e57a427f
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x001b007f4fa3e300e5d95a756d40fd98208fe21ce00f57507a79dbb9b3e8cde8
