Spike bucket
09/22/2026, 10:53:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/22/2026, 10:53:00 P.M. to 09/22/2026, 10:54:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 9,935.06
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 46% of explained volume
Relative context
2.0x above local average
151x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
5
Observable rows
5
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
7
Asset volume
9,935.06 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x004a6CCE919d3E359b135Eb543BBCcB6818E8164.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 9935 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x004a6CCE919d3E359b135Eb543BBCcB6818E8164.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/22/2026, 10:53:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
9,820.98 QUAI across 4 visible rows
Known watch context
0x004a6CCE919d3E359b135Eb543BBCcB6818E8164
Net sender
Unknown type
4,618.74 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00317Fc467ceb612A8ff329d69F6e6EdAF2C8008
Net sender
Unknown type
2,249.66 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002Addb54c936e1556bd15f16BE610Cced713b43
Net sender
Unknown type
2,239.61 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001c4B359885F0e05393733A8d90E238f4371d41
Net sender
Unknown type
712.98 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 9,820.98 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate8 tx
27,152.82 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/22/2026, 10:52:55 P.M.
-1 min
1 tx
65.97 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/22/2026, 10:51:43 P.M.
+1 min
5 tx
9,935.06 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/22/2026, 10:54:08 P.M.
+2 min
5 tx
405.12 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/22/2026, 10:55:20 P.M.
-3 min
2 tx
137.54 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/22/2026, 10:50:29 P.M.
-4 min
2 tx
143.93 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/22/2026, 10:49:17 P.M.
+4 min
3 tx
208.72 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/22/2026, 10:56:32 P.M.
-5 min
5 tx
1,890.91 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/22/2026, 10:48:05 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
4,618.74 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 10:53:22 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x004a6CCE919d3E359b135Eb543BBCcB6818E8164
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
5 transactions
114.07 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 10:53:22 P.M.
From: 0x00374FD6D10461B3D50a616173a3fE16eCd5B44c
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x005c005cc67a7422eb0f54dca1a2c890fb4a167cb582df1a26a43d2df7e586b6
712.98 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 10:53:22 P.M.
From: 0x001c4B359885F0e05393733A8d90E238f4371d41
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x007e001f5632769fba0a5ed6ab62a6033b474f558f56e126dee7a1b3cacd944e
2,249.66 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 10:53:22 P.M.
From: 0x00317Fc467ceb612A8ff329d69F6e6EdAF2C8008
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x006d00314a4d76bfe7f5691bbde36a4b7e58bff1a89e496cd0494a5eb153d2e6
2,239.61 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 10:53:22 P.M.
From: 0x002Addb54c936e1556bd15f16BE610Cced713b43
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00140042f923d132e9607395db8055e9f738c781b1d857772fb119628e73e170
4,618.74 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 10:53:22 P.M.
From: 0x004a6CCE919d3E359b135Eb543BBCcB6818E8164
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x005f006ee238b467638ddf1f670464368529068ff1ae7ba22e6f37027f8a5006