Spike bucket
09/22/2026, 10:47:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/22/2026, 10:47:00 P.M. to 09/22/2026, 10:48:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 1,890.91
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 57% of explained volume
Relative context
0.7x above local average
0.4x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
5
Observable rows
5
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
8
Asset volume
1,890.91 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0020BdF125303a076Ec0648E186eD6fA85687D66.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 1891 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0020BdF125303a076Ec0648E186eD6fA85687D66.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/22/2026, 10:47:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
1,731.65 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0020BdF125303a076Ec0648E186eD6fA85687D66
Net sender
Unknown type
1,073.33 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0049Db8a6b394F0b426b0BC29498DF6a33FA2259
Net sender
Unknown type
658.32 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Net receiver
Unknown type
121.76 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x0062C7a3aC251EEA521F8e89AC6E4A74D34Ec051
Net sender
Unknown type
102.07 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 1,731.65 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
3 tx
888.3 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/22/2026, 10:46:53 P.M.
-1 min
2 tx
4,767.87 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/22/2026, 10:45:41 P.M.
+1 min
5 tx
1,890.91 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/22/2026, 10:48:05 P.M.
+2 min
2 tx
143.93 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/22/2026, 10:49:17 P.M.
-3 min
4 tx
6,257.85 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/22/2026, 10:44:29 P.M.
+3 min
2 tx
137.54 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/22/2026, 10:50:29 P.M.
-4 min
3 tx
200.92 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/22/2026, 10:43:17 P.M.
-5 min
Best candidate8 tx
7,669.73 QUAI • 26 addresses
09/22/2026, 10:42:04 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,073.33 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 10:47:34 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0020BdF125303a076Ec0648E186eD6fA85687D66
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
5 transactions
19.69 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 10:47:34 P.M.
From: 0x006576A80291829C0404F17D225d189045674F1D
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x00230035fafd98c2fdcf32a7a21e02aab265eaa9a08cab4e150ea187a0959ac4
102.07 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 10:47:34 P.M.
From: 0x0062C7a3aC251EEA521F8e89AC6E4A74D34Ec051
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x0025004b507122817a4e166febf5cae5a1d831466fabb24e6cc3428d96c26e97
37.51 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 10:47:34 P.M.
From: 0x002D61B41fE3c140AcE8Ad51A4cca7fa48a3cBdE
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x00260060849022e03d578909ecb06a80c732c98661144eebf6fff3d2af9b02fe
658.32 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 10:47:34 P.M.
From: 0x0049Db8a6b394F0b426b0BC29498DF6a33FA2259
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00570075d8484968879e431c280650e9b9c8e7eb0227850d5ee3ef9e7d2eb35a
1,073.33 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 10:47:34 P.M.
From: 0x0020BdF125303a076Ec0648E186eD6fA85687D66
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x003f003cc087cd609c2ce7da02770585626664813fa04cd17f6aa383a38d5c8e