Spike bucket
09/22/2026, 10:20:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/22/2026, 10:20:00 P.M. to 09/22/2026, 10:21:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 5,010.29
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 56% of explained volume
Relative context
0.4x above local average
0.3x previous minute
1.5x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
5
Observable rows
6
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
27
Asset volume
3,116.94 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0079d21B07e27873c2418A9d21875E2CEF05dD9d • 0x004Bc407903A51506bcF0b1aB423958c5991c237.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 3117 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0079d21B07e27873c2418A9d21875E2CEF05dD9d • 0x004Bc407903A51506bcF0b1aB423958c5991c237.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/22/2026, 10:20:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0079d21B07e27873c2418A9d21875E2CEF05dD9d
Net sender
Unknown type
2,830 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004Bc407903A51506bcF0b1aB423958c5991c237
Net receiver
Unknown type
2,830 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000E0C03F467Df952bb5cE5593419e0Db9240D1b
Net receiver
Unknown type
2,137 QUAI across 4 visible rows
0x001FA60eF455060cb1D501a55f0def89De09d696
Net sender
Unknown type
1,000 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002917f6b8B971363Cdc79666D6dFB982a00ef86
Net sender
Unknown type
1,000 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
5 tx
3,116.94 QUAI • 27 addresses
09/22/2026, 10:20:26 P.M.
-1 min
6 tx
9,178.44 QUAI • 25 addresses
09/22/2026, 10:19:14 P.M.
-2 min
1 tx
19,998.26 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/22/2026, 10:18:02 P.M.
+2 min
4 tx
2,050.29 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/22/2026, 10:21:38 P.M.
-3 min
Best candidate1 tx
19,999.02 QUAI • 6 addresses
09/22/2026, 10:16:50 P.M.
+3 min
4 tx
3,192.06 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/22/2026, 10:22:49 P.M.
-4 min
3 tx
158.29 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/22/2026, 10:15:39 P.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 7 addresses
09/22/2026, 10:24:01 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
2,830 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 10:20:04 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0079d21B07e27873c2418A9d21875E2CEF05dD9d
To: 0x004Bc407903A51506bcF0b1aB423958c5991c237
All transfers in this selected minute
6 transactions
43.29 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 10:20:48 P.M.
From: 0x00752239b55ca5D2e722Fa2f5b4Dc76E9dF3db9E
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x0077000d46edffc34836a7985bdf56c7d3c5e291b3ff9cb05c9f6715d18aa602
1,000 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 10:20:31 P.M.
From: 0x001FA60eF455060cb1D501a55f0def89De09d696
To: 0x000E0C03F467Df952bb5cE5593419e0Db9240D1b
Tx: 0x000e00606809537120ae58b9931b1faedc4e6ccc57b8cf8237836e8165463476
1,000 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 10:20:31 P.M.
From: 0x002917f6b8B971363Cdc79666D6dFB982a00ef86
To: 0x000E0C03F467Df952bb5cE5593419e0Db9240D1b
Tx: 0x006c007d6101e040688811c0d2c432d9e9840504f0103a9df72aeea990a48c6c
7 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 10:20:31 P.M.
From: 0x007C69AA9Be58dFBF25D24B6822159d34278A9C0
To: 0x000E0C03F467Df952bb5cE5593419e0Db9240D1b
Tx: 0x0061007d7f5a644c1775b23fc068b4a2a975529bb3a54711c512f89491df587b
130 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 10:20:04 P.M.
From: 0x0044BeD43990E90F1BBd97d3FaeF490f045b5A61
To: 0x000E0C03F467Df952bb5cE5593419e0Db9240D1b
Tx: 0x0036004975d530431b76551da617d75e1e0f72195e741ba33b50ec3e2b1a016a
2,830 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 10:20:04 P.M.
From: 0x0079d21B07e27873c2418A9d21875E2CEF05dD9d
To: 0x004Bc407903A51506bcF0b1aB423958c5991c237
Tx: 0x0054007661cabfc25eeca57fe7f308a98d3925efe3d5b2c2c48d4976dd1770a4