Spike bucket
09/22/2026, 10:18:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/22/2026, 10:18:00 P.M. to 09/22/2026, 10:19:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
45% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 9,064.56
Unexplained QUAI: 10,933.71
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 98% of explained volume
Relative context
2.9x above local average
1.0x previous minute
2.2x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
1
Observable rows
5
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
14
Asset volume
19,998.26 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x002fFC761B468955764005a599cF656100110549 • 0x0079d21B07e27873c2418A9d21875E2CEF05dD9d.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 19998 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x002fFC761B468955764005a599cF656100110549 • 0x0079d21B07e27873c2418A9d21875E2CEF05dD9d.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/22/2026, 10:18:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (55% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (45%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x002fFC761B468955764005a599cF656100110549
Net sender
Unknown type
8,888 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0079d21B07e27873c2418A9d21875E2CEF05dD9d
Net receiver
Unknown type
8,888 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0067608b7e0346E1794ECf8B14803765E9584984
Net sender
Unknown type
127.7 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00429bbF7fB7Ba31b8594E27E6fC7b2DB17e1e6C
Net receiver
Unknown type
127.7 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000069691B07CC01498ECe6f69C87e89887033fc
Net sender
Unknown type
28.79 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
19,998.26 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/22/2026, 10:18:02 P.M.
-1 min
Best candidate1 tx
19,999.02 QUAI • 6 addresses
09/22/2026, 10:16:50 P.M.
+1 min
6 tx
9,178.44 QUAI • 25 addresses
09/22/2026, 10:19:14 P.M.
-2 min
3 tx
158.29 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/22/2026, 10:15:39 P.M.
+2 min
5 tx
3,116.94 QUAI • 27 addresses
09/22/2026, 10:20:26 P.M.
-4 min
1 tx
23.66 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/22/2026, 10:14:27 P.M.
+4 min
4 tx
2,050.29 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/22/2026, 10:21:38 P.M.
-5 min
4 tx
141.98 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/22/2026, 10:13:16 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
8,888 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 10:18:44 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x002fFC761B468955764005a599cF656100110549
To: 0x0079d21B07e27873c2418A9d21875E2CEF05dD9d
All transfers in this selected minute
5 transactions
28.79 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 10:18:44 P.M.
From: 0x000069691B07CC01498ECe6f69C87e89887033fc
To: 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Tx: 0x00660059bc5fa50364f1463a40fa191a90508f36583812291bb0c059ff20d9d6
15.06 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 10:18:44 P.M.
From: 0x0064ee78ef1634cAF9a4DD337Ec80c0Ff1045061
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x004d002d476f9f812b232059532f5e07ff1bf7491db73fc9e9ce83e3f9491bee
5 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 10:18:44 P.M.
From: 0x0044BeD43990E90F1BBd97d3FaeF490f045b5A61
To: 0x001AF1BbB40807fcb99C9Eeaa49dF5E91e7Efd42
Tx: 0x0018007271369ba4a5f26b7bff43ac2fca0b68b8446033ae9fa2c397bbbcb88b
127.7 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 10:18:44 P.M.
From: 0x0067608b7e0346E1794ECf8B14803765E9584984
To: 0x00429bbF7fB7Ba31b8594E27E6fC7b2DB17e1e6C
Tx: 0x000700752d7a10059170b3216db823d6c90d063996ca33ca5cd0d08ec5a3cebd
8,888 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 10:18:44 P.M.
From: 0x002fFC761B468955764005a599cF656100110549
To: 0x0079d21B07e27873c2418A9d21875E2CEF05dD9d
Tx: 0x00450074097d28c5a38887ac929fe1392f1979106bc3237f6082decc8327809e