Spike bucket
09/22/2026, 9:31:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/22/2026, 9:31:00 P.M. to 09/22/2026, 9:32:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
48% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 285.29
Unexplained QUAI: 311.32
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 42% of explained volume
Relative context
0.1x above local average
0.0x previous minute
0.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by multiple visible transfers.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
11
Observable rows
7
63.6% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
26
Asset volume
596.61 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x007ec137A2Cb6D9A046273cB172461AF47a0eCe8 • 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + low confidence + 597 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 37
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x007ec137A2Cb6D9A046273cB172461AF47a0eCe8 • 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/22/2026, 9:31:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (52% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (48%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x007ec137A2Cb6D9A046273cB172461AF47a0eCe8
Net sender
Unknown type
118.44 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Net receiver
Unknown type
118.44 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001c039f068f7EE0A76fd8A089493c6A2bced7FD
Net sender
Unknown type
63.09 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Net receiver
Unknown type
63.09 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Net receiver
Unknown type
57.03 QUAI across 4 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
11 tx
596.61 QUAI • 26 addresses
09/22/2026, 9:31:26 P.M.
-1 min
Best candidate2 tx
20,046.04 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/22/2026, 9:30:14 P.M.
-2 min
6 tx
399.34 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/22/2026, 9:29:03 P.M.
+2 min
5 tx
19,117.63 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/22/2026, 9:32:38 P.M.
-3 min
3 tx
185.76 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/22/2026, 9:27:51 P.M.
+3 min
1 tx
66.33 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/22/2026, 9:33:49 P.M.
-4 min
2 tx
107.87 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/22/2026, 9:26:40 P.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/22/2026, 9:35:00 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
118.44 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 9:31:07 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x007ec137A2Cb6D9A046273cB172461AF47a0eCe8
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
All transfers in this selected minute
7 transactions
63.09 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 9:31:55 P.M.
From: 0x001c039f068f7EE0A76fd8A089493c6A2bced7FD
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x0078003f79b231b54b35b9b740baaa7ee2ec4d687eae4e97c7c9924c3954e08f
46.73 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 9:31:53 P.M.
From: 0x0062C7a3aC251EEA521F8e89AC6E4A74D34Ec051
To: 0x00537a0527b7fAeBdB12BFFcD2481125Fb1A3ee7
Tx: 0x000e001b28f5c6db48674f2eb93a26ced79d50368300889438e0e9a4e1b255e9
118.44 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 9:31:07 P.M.
From: 0x007ec137A2Cb6D9A046273cB172461AF47a0eCe8
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x0060000335f74bdc6b6f71f75fdc8fd002959b969eab7e837ac590d1c5fd8e3d
6.42 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 9:31:07 P.M.
From: 0x007D681158b62f8f3843793004d1abAF52C49a37
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x000f00289ddc41330a1ec42a884d3d9d51cab5bceceeda23e0bdbee19af485ea
30.64 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 9:31:07 P.M.
From: 0x00231A7719a6fCA71b675eb8a7dF3da4356E0785
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x003a0010fadabcfd1d2cdecc96bb7b9110fe4afd817c204c28e8207184597081
14.53 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 9:31:07 P.M.
From: 0x00570Ada40BFabECe2047797D415bB02e57a427f
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0033002c8718c84024500c209d9f7d4bb2249700028d3f0c17a5003d21642a94
5.44 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 9:31:07 P.M.
From: 0x00093Df76A2EE3Cf4A58d7C6855c1b84df891F9b
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0035007d33dbf5ddef18e7a1773ddf0107fcaa545f09e6949915989e799c3740