Spike bucket
09/22/2026, 9:23:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/22/2026, 9:23:00 P.M. to 09/22/2026, 9:24:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
49% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 146.77
Unexplained QUAI: 153.23
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 60% of explained volume
Relative context
0.1x above local average
0.3x previous minute
2.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
1
Observable rows
2
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
13
Asset volume
300 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x005dbdAC8b21DA4bbfdd2396F9267a634485Db66 • 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 300 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x005dbdAC8b21DA4bbfdd2396F9267a634485Db66 • 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/22/2026, 9:23:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (51% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (49%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x005dbdAC8b21DA4bbfdd2396F9267a634485Db66
Net sender
Unknown type
87.68 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Net receiver
Unknown type
87.68 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0053E63531C129f8678803beEb62546dF2fAD31d
Net sender
Unknown type
59.08 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Net receiver
Unknown type
59.08 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
300 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/22/2026, 9:23:05 P.M.
-1 min
9 tx
951.01 QUAI • 28 addresses
09/22/2026, 9:21:54 P.M.
+1 min
2 tx
146.77 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/22/2026, 9:24:16 P.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/22/2026, 9:20:42 P.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
09/22/2026, 9:25:28 P.M.
-3 min
3 tx
277.78 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/22/2026, 9:19:31 P.M.
+4 min
2 tx
107.87 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/22/2026, 9:26:40 P.M.
-5 min
Best candidate4 tx
20,222.85 QUAI • 25 addresses
09/22/2026, 9:18:18 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
87.68 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 9:23:31 P.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x005dbdAC8b21DA4bbfdd2396F9267a634485Db66
To: 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
59.08 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 9:23:31 P.M.
From: 0x0053E63531C129f8678803beEb62546dF2fAD31d
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x003500151f08c8b0ce3c80a453526f478cbfdff991a67af6ab90065c52b37702
87.68 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 9:23:31 P.M.
From: 0x005dbdAC8b21DA4bbfdd2396F9267a634485Db66
To: 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Tx: 0x0070000b7ba78649f168d09811ae89b60d702756c136a1c9a0a84b8d0ca5574d