Spike bucket
09/22/2026, 9:21:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/22/2026, 9:21:00 P.M. to 09/22/2026, 9:22:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
44% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 414.96
Unexplained QUAI: 536.04
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 72% of explained volume
Relative context
0.3x above local average
3.4x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
9
Observable rows
3
33.3% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
28
Asset volume
951.01 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17 • 0x001ccE0dD932653B20bCb6Cde6550d3A75aF1953.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 951 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17 • 0x001ccE0dD932653B20bCb6Cde6550d3A75aF1953.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/22/2026, 9:21:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (56% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (44%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17
Net sender
Unknown type
299.19 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001ccE0dD932653B20bCb6Cde6550d3A75aF1953
Net receiver
Unknown type
299.19 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x003E8fc52fC3FF68bF1c164a718fED384891A0A8
Net sender
Unknown type
79.96 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Net receiver
Unknown type
79.96 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001c039f068f7EE0A76fd8A089493c6A2bced7FD
Net sender
Unknown type
35.82 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/22/2026, 9:20:42 P.M.
-1 min
3 tx
277.78 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/22/2026, 9:19:31 P.M.
+1 min
9 tx
951.01 QUAI • 28 addresses
09/22/2026, 9:21:54 P.M.
+2 min
1 tx
300 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/22/2026, 9:23:05 P.M.
-3 min
Best candidate4 tx
20,222.85 QUAI • 25 addresses
09/22/2026, 9:18:18 P.M.
+3 min
2 tx
146.77 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/22/2026, 9:24:16 P.M.
-4 min
3 tx
158.18 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/22/2026, 9:17:06 P.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
09/22/2026, 9:25:28 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
299.19 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 9:21:21 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17
To: 0x001ccE0dD932653B20bCb6Cde6550d3A75aF1953
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
35.82 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 9:21:21 P.M.
From: 0x001c039f068f7EE0A76fd8A089493c6A2bced7FD
To: 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Tx: 0x003c0024ac55788fc46e854336bfa1e4c6d5d17c447bcb97b4d2d51e94732185
79.96 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 9:21:21 P.M.
From: 0x003E8fc52fC3FF68bF1c164a718fED384891A0A8
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x002c0056de7a75974622ac3213d918cd92bf0b31a1c7e390279e54b8d78400f2
299.19 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 9:21:21 P.M.
From: 0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17
To: 0x001ccE0dD932653B20bCb6Cde6550d3A75aF1953
Tx: 0x007c000a0a987833bfbac01092a43232283b740d19aecc9dce297e9d06879d2d