Spike bucket
09/22/2026, 9:11:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/22/2026, 9:11:00 P.M. to 09/22/2026, 9:12:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
medium confidence
100% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 1,833.24
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 55% of explained volume
Relative context
0.2x above local average
0.5x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by multiple visible transfers.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
55
Observable rows
19
34.5% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
69
Asset volume
902.55 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0064D2dcf1027693B6247AfDA08A0da153d6AdE6.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + medium confidence + 903 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0064D2dcf1027693B6247AfDA08A0da153d6AdE6.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: medium • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 19 visible transfer rows
Confidence medium • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/22/2026, 9:11:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 19 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
1,235.26 QUAI across 3 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0064D2dcf1027693B6247AfDA08A0da153d6AdE6
Net sender
Unknown type
1,006.49 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
Net sender
Unknown type
413.19 QUAI across 11 visible rows
0x001D34B2650bb2D1716dd1eE877115375C540EbB
Net sender
Unknown type
126.45 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0059521422C0F8fC0967393b225188483C655e15
Net receiver
Unknown type
123.49 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 1,235.26 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
55 tx
902.55 QUAI • 69 addresses
09/22/2026, 9:11:06 P.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/22/2026, 9:09:54 P.M.
+1 min
19 tx
1,833.24 QUAI • 35 addresses
09/22/2026, 9:12:19 P.M.
-2 min
1 tx
95.24 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/22/2026, 9:08:43 P.M.
-3 min
Best candidate54 tx
42,065.76 QUAI • 73 addresses
09/22/2026, 9:07:31 P.M.
+3 min
1 tx
9.12 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/22/2026, 9:13:30 P.M.
+4 min
1 tx
77.24 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/22/2026, 9:14:43 P.M.
-5 min
1 tx
34.39 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/22/2026, 9:06:19 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,006.49 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 9:11:05 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0064D2dcf1027693B6247AfDA08A0da153d6AdE6
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
19 transactions
105.4 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 9:11:58 P.M.
From: 0x007ec137A2Cb6D9A046273cB172461AF47a0eCe8
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x0050002b10a25cf59c5e649ba1816d0909375f11aa7bdb7a3f2fa4b9033e6391
4.92 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 9:11:35 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0001E6d34B2c76A6dB0ae13eF0DBE8F1Ed7a85ad
Tx: 0x005f0072cb9f468abffb53b9bb25314ee6e24fd44fce94ca666acc231d75d14c
111.21 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 9:11:35 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0001ec798D9186b010De72732d4Cf04E594D9d52
Tx: 0x0007002445b0925db51cf684e7b3622cc06c9530eb63f0dff31d67aef8fa84dc
9.54 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 9:11:35 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x005eF5d5DC3ebF571BFAe01D957034dBE629A8E7
Tx: 0x0012006ad1cf46be556f4679e6774eb6de19948c46e576805224d34374dc41e8
15.63 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 9:11:35 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00279256e95b8C8A4C5C925b15519E506F369126
Tx: 0x0047005d7af03af61dfe4af98511127c010baee9ab8cba9ea89d9836af1def71
4.8 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 9:11:35 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x006745Db42371c7dBCab3dEAf37839b33dFf3FE7
Tx: 0x001900646134651344eb1492fb487cf2700eb9f69b65da9db9b50872f57c20a8
32.36 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 9:11:35 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x005325141fA6436671A1562F1bf0EDa748E498DF
Tx: 0x00510008d29b43eec5f26d2fa3529738832241aaebf342fef79fa41406e6f629
4.44 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 9:11:35 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0041047fb41Fbb3952b197F81aaCF0661BEAab75
Tx: 0x0051006ddb29d882e3e1f4937b9acb2fad172830b5abea06e0d95e8bb702e7a8
123.49 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 9:11:35 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0059521422C0F8fC0967393b225188483C655e15
Tx: 0x0046000731c0b8c98e649d5464ca41727d4b9c33bc33d49cacde0084cc2ffe2f
4.45 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 9:11:35 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0055F4bDaC95E394DcbB8DF8c4A87291629E967a
Tx: 0x003f0014b0edb2389fbb6414d2f1c81817c9b9f2dece2065695404ec7c0ceaa3
11.66 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 9:11:35 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x000431e64aa6008591d75B65583d646Ecd5C911a
Tx: 0x00440068ce4134bab03c5914ccb5eb4375eb0de010be0804a3683f074bcedcfb
90.7 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 9:11:35 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x001F0af9403592c11b9e07659dc2F740e3075C39
Tx: 0x001b0067b81ef8a17ceece7ccf1540e0bbd79c9919dfd3fcf72d571146196fc2
33.98 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 9:11:05 P.M.
From: 0x002D61B41fE3c140AcE8Ad51A4cca7fa48a3cBdE
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x006a0064985959265beffd0f7c57173de9fbb3850eb5d04645126c361ba4a972
15.22 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 9:11:05 P.M.
From: 0x007D681158b62f8f3843793004d1abAF52C49a37
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x00520079cda69a7aca1291e7acd9bbef50539d0a3d9177aabf46310a796b017e
14.7 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 9:11:05 P.M.
From: 0x00570Ada40BFabECe2047797D415bB02e57a427f
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x00210072cbcc3f311fca5bef5a3237b44f80435ee30a40319698fa08b046048d
15.49 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 9:11:05 P.M.
From: 0x00093Df76A2EE3Cf4A58d7C6855c1b84df891F9b
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x00040047738238d6bf3a744736a247cf8e946a3eac76c40108287c145e235175
102.32 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 9:11:05 P.M.
From: 0x00055A693cBA1493A9D058C12ad7186f25BB1e19
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0061005b98fa4f58d64c4bb9627db6773f2afa0a1f496d9df99cf33feecfc480
126.45 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 9:11:05 P.M.
From: 0x001D34B2650bb2D1716dd1eE877115375C540EbB
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0078002116751ba7d12a9006ab4aaf722697a8c464480a7d2b60f87052739bd5
1,006.49 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 9:11:05 P.M.
From: 0x0064D2dcf1027693B6247AfDA08A0da153d6AdE6
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x001d005a84ea90ea9773cb1e728c6544c40304c9c7be2d55dad099430eea453e
