Spike bucket
09/22/2026, 8:12:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/22/2026, 8:12:00 P.M. to 09/22/2026, 8:13:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 205.04
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 52% of explained volume
Relative context
0.3x above local average
0.1x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
21
Asset volume
113.46 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x002921A58F4b88B5B6782B8b369120393Ef27b26 • 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 113 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x002921A58F4b88B5B6782B8b369120393Ef27b26 • 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/22/2026, 8:12:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x002921A58F4b88B5B6782B8b369120393Ef27b26
Net sender
Unknown type
107.33 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Net receiver
Unknown type
107.33 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006576A80291829C0404F17D225d189045674F1D
Net sender
Unknown type
91.58 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Net receiver
Unknown type
91.58 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0061e8518Bbd996F3930504F99d3F8af28B19de9
Net sender
Unknown type
6.12 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
8 tx
885.54 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/22/2026, 8:11:29 P.M.
+1 min
2 tx
113.46 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/22/2026, 8:12:41 P.M.
-2 min
2 tx
29.55 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/22/2026, 8:10:17 P.M.
+2 min
1 tx
91.58 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/22/2026, 8:13:52 P.M.
-3 min
Best candidate50 tx
1,475.54 QUAI • 68 addresses
09/22/2026, 8:09:05 P.M.
+3 min
1 tx
81.92 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/22/2026, 8:15:03 P.M.
-4 min
2 tx
131.12 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/22/2026, 8:07:52 P.M.
+4 min
4 tx
205.89 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/22/2026, 8:16:15 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
107.33 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 8:12:22 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x002921A58F4b88B5B6782B8b369120393Ef27b26
To: 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
91.58 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 8:12:59 P.M.
From: 0x006576A80291829C0404F17D225d189045674F1D
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x00000035ee025ad74c5c170ee4181d882d7749c32959e223e97d8bdbb94415fe
107.33 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 8:12:22 P.M.
From: 0x002921A58F4b88B5B6782B8b369120393Ef27b26
To: 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Tx: 0x000c0027547310894f9350e395dcdb2b765874680dcdadaef7d84819a819faa4
6.12 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 8:12:22 P.M.
From: 0x0061e8518Bbd996F3930504F99d3F8af28B19de9
To: 0x0012fE99c6dE55353F373e1276b27a19d8A0b907
Tx: 0x00380049be0b116a3a52f2e45838aa03e4d27d296f36121de640f6f4d0f116e5
