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Inspect spike

Spike bucket

09/22/2026, 8:11:00 P.M.

Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.

Window: 09/22/2026, 8:11:00 P.M. to 09/22/2026, 8:12:00 P.M.

Partially observable spike

medium confidence

81% coverage

Coverage

Explained QUAI: 719.21

Unexplained QUAI: 166.33

Facts

Pattern: Distributed activity

Dominant transfer: 33% of explained volume

Relative context

0.3x above local average

30x previous minute

7.8x next minute

Interpretation

Visible rows explain most of the spike, with no single transfer dominating.

The spike appears distributed, but some of the bucket still remains unexplained.

Shard

Cyprus-1

Bucket tx

Observable rows

75.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows

Unique addresses

Asset volume

885.54 QUAI

Avg confidence

62.0%

Dominant source: account-shape-default

Event intelligence

medium priority

What happened

Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0038F66C79f8C23c50Df0742FD4320f55704F0Ae.

Dominant behavior: mixed flow

mixed_flow + medium confidence + 886 QUAI

This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.

Importance score: 35

Why this spike matters now

Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0038F66C79f8C23c50Df0742FD4320f55704F0Ae.

No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.

Confidence context: medium • Source context: account-shape-default

Evidence & confidence

Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available

Based on: 1 related signal • 6 visible transfer rows

Confidence medium • Source account-shape-default

Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet

Data provenance & freshness

Source health: limited • High freshness drift

Stale context window • Broad source coverage

Last updated: 09/22/2026, 8:11:00 P.M.

Coverage gaps appear limited

Based on: 1 related signal • 6 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window

Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.

Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.

Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window

Why now

Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).

What to do next

Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.

What to verify

Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.

Top actors in this event

MEXC hot wallet

Net receiver

Exchange

564.14 QUAI across 4 visible rows

Known watch context

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x0038F66C79f8C23c50Df0742FD4320f55704F0Ae

Net sender

Unknown type

240.51 QUAI across 1 visible row

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x0051fF20Ec61ea03fBB3ED387f37EE9302fcB3B5

Net sender

Unknown type

125 QUAI across 1 visible row

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x0036790CD4d52be29653A4A7bb9e3E9A64639b9e

Net receiver

Unknown type

125 QUAI across 1 visible row

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x00095148E36DA3ca00ADc55DE9a8AF7c0Bc01bd3

Net sender

Unknown type

110.22 QUAI across 1 visible row

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

Relationship intelligence

Repeated flow pairs

No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.

Type concentration

To exchange: 564.14 QUAI

From exchange: 0 QUAI

Whale to whale: 0 QUAI

Alert context Signal feed

Evidence checks

Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.

Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
Review latest signal or spike before changing status.

Autonomous outcome

Read-only canonical source

Cyprus-1 spike

This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.

Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.

View investigations

Inspect nearby minutes

Jump around the selected bucket quickly when the exact minute is sparse, delayed, or mostly aggregated.

-15 min -5 min -1 min +1 min +5 min +15 min Raw alerts API

6 observable transfers were found for this minute, but the bucket total is 8. The remaining 2 entries are chain transactions that were not stored as displayable transfer rows in the current dataset, typically because they are non-value, self, contract/system, or otherwise non-observable transfer activity.

Nearby active minutes

Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes

Selected minute

8 tx

885.54 QUAI • 21 addresses

09/22/2026, 8:11:29 P.M.

-1 min

2 tx

29.55 QUAI • 15 addresses

09/22/2026, 8:10:17 P.M.

-2 min

50 tx

1,475.54 QUAI • 68 addresses

09/22/2026, 8:09:05 P.M.

+2 min

2 tx

113.46 QUAI • 21 addresses

09/22/2026, 8:12:41 P.M.

-3 min

2 tx

131.12 QUAI • 18 addresses

09/22/2026, 8:07:52 P.M.

+3 min

1 tx

91.58 QUAI • 12 addresses

09/22/2026, 8:13:52 P.M.

-4 min

Best candidate55 tx

20,703.01 QUAI • 72 addresses

09/22/2026, 8:06:41 P.M.

+4 min

1 tx

81.92 QUAI • 13 addresses

09/22/2026, 8:15:03 P.M.

Biggest whale alert

240.51 QUAI

Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale

Cyprus-1

09/22/2026, 8:11:02 P.M.

QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1

From: 0x0038F66C79f8C23c50Df0742FD4320f55704F0Ae

To: MEXC hot wallet

0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a

Exchange

Open txWallet profile

All transfers in this selected minute

6 transactions

125 QUAI

Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence

Cyprus-1

09/22/2026, 8:11:25 P.M.

From: 0x0051fF20Ec61ea03fBB3ED387f37EE9302fcB3B5

To: 0x0036790CD4d52be29653A4A7bb9e3E9A64639b9e

Tx: 0x0000003cf32175d3652795971d2147a7c55e476558eaeafec3de214e6d27bb77

Open tx

30.08 QUAI

Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence

Cyprus-1

09/22/2026, 8:11:02 P.M.

From: 0x003596A67E27c316a9DFAb62271be0F9e38C9171

To: 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0

Tx: 0x005b0016dd189b8c322ca30f817ab88ddd995dddb8164fe0fbdc194cdf586890

Open tx

110.22 QUAI

Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale

Cyprus-1

09/22/2026, 8:11:02 P.M.

From: 0x00095148E36DA3ca00ADc55DE9a8AF7c0Bc01bd3

To: MEXC hot wallet

0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a

Exchange

Tx: 0x003e002fb06fd2cd1f3342d6adae88e651f29b6c5d2611a71fb41848347cbd98

Open txWallet profile

103.8 QUAI

Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale

Cyprus-1

09/22/2026, 8:11:02 P.M.

From: 0x004f8411bABfC122BB6CD9665C885D4e049ED49f

To: MEXC hot wallet

0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a

Exchange

Tx: 0x0017001ceec70b8d72d26d70ae945a938a122b931c644e04b5d4df3b24747f2b

Open txWallet profile

240.51 QUAI

Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale

Cyprus-1

09/22/2026, 8:11:02 P.M.

From: 0x0038F66C79f8C23c50Df0742FD4320f55704F0Ae

To: MEXC hot wallet

0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a

Exchange

Tx: 0x004b005b4c6146f888d1774be9d37f01a134286c50781c14f4aa53bd709acaa2

Open txWallet profile

109.61 QUAI

Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale

Cyprus-1

09/22/2026, 8:11:02 P.M.

From: 0x0045f0A51D2cFC3B573a7DCc2C14AD3C47C3f58e

To: MEXC hot wallet

0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a

Exchange

Tx: 0x007c005d22dd677c62aba6448739ad68a288172081c9824f677a585d62978e36

Open txWallet profile