Spike bucket
09/22/2026, 8:00:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/22/2026, 8:00:00 P.M. to 09/22/2026, 8:01:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 192.87
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 48% of explained volume
Relative context
0.0x above local average
0.5x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
14
Asset volume
192.87 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e • 0x001c039f068f7EE0A76fd8A089493c6A2bced7FD.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 193 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e • 0x001c039f068f7EE0A76fd8A089493c6A2bced7FD.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/22/2026, 8:00:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Net receiver
Unknown type
192.87 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x001c039f068f7EE0A76fd8A089493c6A2bced7FD
Net sender
Unknown type
93.13 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006576A80291829C0404F17D225d189045674F1D
Net sender
Unknown type
66.47 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006d6f94092Ef4da38ccF4a5Fcaf42578be48833
Net sender
Unknown type
33.28 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
2 tx
198.02 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/22/2026, 7:59:31 P.M.
+1 min
3 tx
192.87 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/22/2026, 8:00:43 P.M.
-2 min
2 tx
407.7 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/22/2026, 7:58:19 P.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/22/2026, 8:01:54 P.M.
-3 min
2 tx
233.9 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/22/2026, 7:57:06 P.M.
+3 min
Best candidate4 tx
40,370.92 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/22/2026, 8:03:06 P.M.
-4 min
4 tx
207.64 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/22/2026, 7:55:55 P.M.
+4 min
2 tx
151.28 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/22/2026, 8:04:17 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
93.13 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 8:00:34 P.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x001c039f068f7EE0A76fd8A089493c6A2bced7FD
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
33.28 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 8:00:34 P.M.
From: 0x006d6f94092Ef4da38ccF4a5Fcaf42578be48833
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x0017000d3a0ee29e4cde7ff78cc37e2c2c93cb57e1a0e75dd5dd2fcbb5d848a5
66.47 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 8:00:34 P.M.
From: 0x006576A80291829C0404F17D225d189045674F1D
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x0047004c10fab66e24803e99cb9dcddc91ff9b061f8e3e67c7c924137692877e
93.13 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 8:00:34 P.M.
From: 0x001c039f068f7EE0A76fd8A089493c6A2bced7FD
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x000900079c6790d050a2f1d22b8b7a8cbd1cac900706bb696e905d8326165bfa