Spike bucket
09/22/2026, 7:46:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/22/2026, 7:46:00 P.M. to 09/22/2026, 7:47:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 115.62
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 48% of explained volume
Relative context
0.0x above local average
0.1x previous minute
0.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
14
Asset volume
39.81 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e • 0x00422Db0B7172dE5aA4Dad8d17923ea23BC8fEaA.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 40 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e • 0x00422Db0B7172dE5aA4Dad8d17923ea23BC8fEaA.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/22/2026, 7:46:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Net receiver
Unknown type
98.69 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x00422Db0B7172dE5aA4Dad8d17923ea23BC8fEaA
Net sender
Unknown type
55.98 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006576A80291829C0404F17D225d189045674F1D
Net sender
Unknown type
42.71 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002521D801561CcC0dCBf08d49EcC10bBc7d0a81
Net sender
Unknown type
16.92 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Net receiver
Unknown type
16.92 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
2 tx
39.81 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/22/2026, 7:46:22 P.M.
-1 min
5 tx
360.56 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/22/2026, 7:45:11 P.M.
-2 min
3 tx
211.71 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/22/2026, 7:43:57 P.M.
+2 min
4 tx
10,326.28 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/22/2026, 7:47:33 P.M.
-3 min
1 tx
40.88 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/22/2026, 7:42:46 P.M.
+3 min
2 tx
233.67 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/22/2026, 7:48:46 P.M.
-4 min
4 tx
10,381.59 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/22/2026, 7:41:35 P.M.
+4 min
Best candidate3 tx
23,168.95 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/22/2026, 7:49:57 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
55.98 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 7:46:34 P.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x00422Db0B7172dE5aA4Dad8d17923ea23BC8fEaA
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
55.98 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 7:46:34 P.M.
From: 0x00422Db0B7172dE5aA4Dad8d17923ea23BC8fEaA
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x0000000fe7fc9165fb261346ac33b0eab8e1ae042211ec3564b4adedb45b5e59
42.71 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 7:46:34 P.M.
From: 0x006576A80291829C0404F17D225d189045674F1D
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x0004003adb108afa1b668d4f14887bc7e6165080b7daee782dd37548efd2a4fc
16.92 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 7:46:11 P.M.
From: 0x002521D801561CcC0dCBf08d49EcC10bBc7d0a81
To: 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Tx: 0x004100524f52000887ee991d751a8cc671ff1ff939e5fbd20183ef5bd06542e4