Spike bucket
09/22/2026, 6:15:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/22/2026, 6:15:00 P.M. to 09/22/2026, 6:16:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 3,241.79
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 93% of explained volume
Relative context
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
5
Observable rows
5
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
16
Asset volume
0 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0046816338CD24b41F0249BB07A7F65860E76Cce • 0x004Bc407903A51506bcF0b1aB423958c5991c237.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 0 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0046816338CD24b41F0249BB07A7F65860E76Cce • 0x004Bc407903A51506bcF0b1aB423958c5991c237.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/22/2026, 6:15:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0046816338CD24b41F0249BB07A7F65860E76Cce
Net sender
Unknown type
3,000 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004Bc407903A51506bcF0b1aB423958c5991c237
Net receiver
Unknown type
3,000 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Net receiver
Unknown type
223.73 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x00422Db0B7172dE5aA4Dad8d17923ea23BC8fEaA
Net sender
Unknown type
103.08 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001c039f068f7EE0A76fd8A089493c6A2bced7FD
Net sender
Unknown type
97.72 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
0 tx
0 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/22/2026, 6:15:23 P.M.
-1 min
3 tx
17,918.3 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/22/2026, 6:14:11 P.M.
-2 min
3 tx
178.54 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/22/2026, 6:12:59 P.M.
+2 min
6 tx
3,351.73 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/22/2026, 6:16:34 P.M.
-3 min
21 tx
6,817.9 QUAI • 40 addresses
09/22/2026, 6:11:47 P.M.
+3 min
Best candidate5 tx
24,425.6 QUAI • 9 addresses
09/22/2026, 6:17:45 P.M.
-4 min
4 tx
5,405.5 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/22/2026, 6:10:34 P.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/22/2026, 6:18:57 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
3,000 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 6:15:31 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0046816338CD24b41F0249BB07A7F65860E76Cce
To: 0x004Bc407903A51506bcF0b1aB423958c5991c237
All transfers in this selected minute
5 transactions
18.06 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 6:15:54 P.M.
From: 0x000069691B07CC01498ECe6f69C87e89887033fc
To: 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Tx: 0x005b0040755ef401ff4278ca128d298b0c3c7814dd7092430145b845771df9c9
22.92 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 6:15:48 P.M.
From: 0x007ec137A2Cb6D9A046273cB172461AF47a0eCe8
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x001a0020d4261a53b795e8025a358762fed9754f722e3d6a7e512874a0c9e46e
97.72 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 6:15:48 P.M.
From: 0x001c039f068f7EE0A76fd8A089493c6A2bced7FD
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x00090041946a9603f801ce5ef3efb2597bc706cc81cc517cea5b803371b9a7c3
3,000 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 6:15:31 P.M.
From: 0x0046816338CD24b41F0249BB07A7F65860E76Cce
To: 0x004Bc407903A51506bcF0b1aB423958c5991c237
Tx: 0x000f0069165f22df0cdefd61eebda0630d9b3479d21d0631a18b0a619bacbba1
103.08 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 6:15:31 P.M.
From: 0x00422Db0B7172dE5aA4Dad8d17923ea23BC8fEaA
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x006b0027a7863f098c1f9abbcf818159ef72e0f67c1b4efdbc6f43941d83a102