Spike bucket
09/22/2026, 6:02:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/22/2026, 6:02:00 P.M. to 09/22/2026, 6:03:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 1,597.41
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 94% of explained volume
Relative context
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
2
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
11
Asset volume
0 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x003E8fc52fC3FF68bF1c164a718fED384891A0A8 • 0x004Bc407903A51506bcF0b1aB423958c5991c237.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 0 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x003E8fc52fC3FF68bF1c164a718fED384891A0A8 • 0x004Bc407903A51506bcF0b1aB423958c5991c237.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/22/2026, 6:02:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x003E8fc52fC3FF68bF1c164a718fED384891A0A8
Net sender
Unknown type
1,500 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004Bc407903A51506bcF0b1aB423958c5991c237
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,500 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006576A80291829C0404F17D225d189045674F1D
Net sender
Unknown type
97.41 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Net receiver
Unknown type
97.41 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/22/2026, 6:02:10 P.M.
-1 min
2 tx
165.88 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/22/2026, 6:00:59 P.M.
+1 min
2 tx
1,597.41 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/22/2026, 6:03:22 P.M.
-2 min
3 tx
20,127.63 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/22/2026, 5:59:47 P.M.
-3 min
2 tx
139.63 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/22/2026, 5:58:36 P.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/22/2026, 6:04:34 P.M.
+4 min
Best candidate25 tx
37,641.23 QUAI • 39 addresses
09/22/2026, 6:05:45 P.M.
-5 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
09/22/2026, 5:57:22 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,500 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 6:02:12 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x003E8fc52fC3FF68bF1c164a718fED384891A0A8
To: 0x004Bc407903A51506bcF0b1aB423958c5991c237
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
97.41 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 6:02:12 P.M.
From: 0x006576A80291829C0404F17D225d189045674F1D
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x000a00771215215f8e9370ae4f628237f4520274618474fb598d720e9692a930
1,500 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 6:02:12 P.M.
From: 0x003E8fc52fC3FF68bF1c164a718fED384891A0A8
To: 0x004Bc407903A51506bcF0b1aB423958c5991c237
Tx: 0x0000002494f556cdb5d0185526db58dc89caeb6eac26a9f29fef7a90376766ec
