Spike bucket
09/22/2026, 4:59:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/22/2026, 4:59:00 P.M. to 09/22/2026, 5:00:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 666.76
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 57% of explained volume
Relative context
2.0x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
4
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
20
Asset volume
666.76 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0056Df2a04C03734dbBE42542f30EA6A5DdafEF8 • 0x001D517be95Deb0A7B4b6AE42d3326b1792DFc25.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 667 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0056Df2a04C03734dbBE42542f30EA6A5DdafEF8 • 0x001D517be95Deb0A7B4b6AE42d3326b1792DFc25.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/22/2026, 4:59:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0056Df2a04C03734dbBE42542f30EA6A5DdafEF8
Net sender
Unknown type
380 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001D517be95Deb0A7B4b6AE42d3326b1792DFc25
Net receiver
Unknown type
380 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Net receiver
Unknown type
286.76 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x001c039f068f7EE0A76fd8A089493c6A2bced7FD
Net sender
Unknown type
115.89 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x005597d47822d26B3F3eb9546B370D4d803e8f69
Net sender
Unknown type
94.38 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
09/22/2026, 4:58:45 P.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/22/2026, 4:57:34 P.M.
+1 min
4 tx
666.76 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/22/2026, 4:59:57 P.M.
+2 min
2 tx
386.42 QUAI • 10 addresses
09/22/2026, 5:01:08 P.M.
-3 min
2 tx
190.14 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/22/2026, 4:56:23 P.M.
+3 min
6 tx
453.25 QUAI • 26 addresses
09/22/2026, 5:02:20 P.M.
-4 min
Best candidate9 tx
983.15 QUAI • 23 addresses
09/22/2026, 4:55:10 P.M.
-5 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/22/2026, 4:53:59 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
380 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 4:59:12 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0056Df2a04C03734dbBE42542f30EA6A5DdafEF8
To: 0x001D517be95Deb0A7B4b6AE42d3326b1792DFc25
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
380 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 4:59:12 P.M.
From: 0x0056Df2a04C03734dbBE42542f30EA6A5DdafEF8
To: 0x001D517be95Deb0A7B4b6AE42d3326b1792DFc25
Tx: 0x000a007a087468e27a51229fd763081c766dcb53ad82b95d4f499051b244b2ee
76.5 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 4:59:12 P.M.
From: 0x001DAce696Fc03C6Fc687dcF04Cbee232e28EB7b
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x007a001af4902278072734d6c937dcca88685a218bc05203c987e1b283613835
94.38 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 4:59:12 P.M.
From: 0x005597d47822d26B3F3eb9546B370D4d803e8f69
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x000b007aa6eadcd2adcdb6376c7691a163123ca9642e311e4aab07da6ef307cd
115.89 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 4:59:12 P.M.
From: 0x001c039f068f7EE0A76fd8A089493c6A2bced7FD
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x00340032804df943fb51036089000190bc01671e1d5c4142a6942b4419879de0