Spike bucket
09/22/2026, 4:47:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/22/2026, 4:47:00 P.M. to 09/22/2026, 4:48:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 489.29
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 58% of explained volume
Relative context
3.4x above local average
4.9x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
6
Observable rows
6
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
10
Asset volume
489.29 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0048803eF90f765f97eFaFdD55Ca2C96eEbAa97A • 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 489 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0048803eF90f765f97eFaFdD55Ca2C96eEbAa97A • 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/22/2026, 4:47:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0048803eF90f765f97eFaFdD55Ca2C96eEbAa97A
Net sender
Unknown type
285.95 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Net receiver
Unknown type
285.95 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Net receiver
Unknown type
111.96 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x006576A80291829C0404F17D225d189045674F1D
Net sender
Unknown type
90.04 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Net receiver
Unknown type
90.04 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
4 tx
153.08 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/22/2026, 4:46:50 P.M.
-1 min
1 tx
99.13 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/22/2026, 4:45:39 P.M.
+1 min
Best candidate6 tx
489.29 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/22/2026, 4:48:01 P.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
09/22/2026, 4:49:13 P.M.
-3 min
1 tx
78.81 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/22/2026, 4:44:26 P.M.
+3 min
1 tx
105.38 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/22/2026, 4:50:24 P.M.
-4 min
3 tx
227.82 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/22/2026, 4:43:15 P.M.
-5 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/22/2026, 4:42:03 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
285.95 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 4:47:46 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0048803eF90f765f97eFaFdD55Ca2C96eEbAa97A
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
All transfers in this selected minute
6 transactions
25.12 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 4:47:46 P.M.
From: 0x0053E63531C129f8678803beEb62546dF2fAD31d
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x00210046c1792d0d060dbdcc280b64aebf50338faaecb937e2b487af941ccd2b
90.04 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 4:47:46 P.M.
From: 0x006576A80291829C0404F17D225d189045674F1D
To: 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Tx: 0x001c001f02cf7976d6172e0edcc2651a9bb4d171cd941ec2941fe375b4bb62fa
71.09 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 4:47:46 P.M.
From: 0x00790A8A273Fc05820818eFBADc78da09d591c7d
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x0062000754c128434109dd77553bd826b6907ba2d492fdf754c006b1fe7be652
15.75 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 4:47:46 P.M.
From: 0x0062C7a3aC251EEA521F8e89AC6E4A74D34Ec051
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x0060004a295825687cb64765440e60fd2c727a40674f73ae186f60694a740530
285.95 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 4:47:46 P.M.
From: 0x0048803eF90f765f97eFaFdD55Ca2C96eEbAa97A
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x0042006e70aa688dae66f4113d06da3fdeceae9aa207d6e3ff7ad54eb13176bc
1.34 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 4:47:04 P.M.
From: 0x000eF1ed645F16Fb1388C764Ae4f05e35625B3A6
To: 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211
Tx: 0x00060077c3a2b9136a6d7fa74af5cec5e99f2c9988bbe042c4bccabf42a48e4b