Spike bucket
09/22/2026, 4:38:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/22/2026, 4:38:00 P.M. to 09/22/2026, 4:39:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 275.25
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 58% of explained volume
Relative context
0.0x above local average
0.4x previous minute
5.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
4
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
3
Asset volume
229.32 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e • 0x0033bC311e90Da47f553AA52682dD0C25B466d3c.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 229 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e • 0x0033bC311e90Da47f553AA52682dD0C25B466d3c.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/22/2026, 4:38:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Net receiver
Unknown type
253.06 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x0033bC311e90Da47f553AA52682dD0C25B466d3c
Net sender
Unknown type
158.41 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00374FD6D10461B3D50a616173a3fE16eCd5B44c
Net sender
Unknown type
70.91 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000069691B07CC01498ECe6f69C87e89887033fc
Net sender
Unknown type
23.74 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006576A80291829C0404F17D225d189045674F1D
Net sender
Unknown type
22.19 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
2 tx
229.32 QUAI • 3 addresses
09/22/2026, 4:38:28 P.M.
-1 min
4 tx
597.23 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/22/2026, 4:37:17 P.M.
-2 min
10 tx
2,506.02 QUAI • 28 addresses
09/22/2026, 4:36:05 P.M.
+2 min
2 tx
45.93 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/22/2026, 4:39:40 P.M.
-3 min
3 tx
318.83 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/22/2026, 4:34:53 P.M.
+3 min
Best candidate3 tx
60,210.35 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/22/2026, 4:40:51 P.M.
-4 min
3 tx
186.51 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/22/2026, 4:33:41 P.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/22/2026, 4:42:03 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
158.41 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 4:38:12 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0033bC311e90Da47f553AA52682dD0C25B466d3c
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
22.19 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 4:38:47 P.M.
From: 0x006576A80291829C0404F17D225d189045674F1D
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x0059006f94bad6fb4668a6974053bb997af1bcd50a78b7bfef7e63d036c1d361
23.74 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 4:38:38 P.M.
From: 0x000069691B07CC01498ECe6f69C87e89887033fc
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x00610016135bb26fa02b7ad3a0b5c03dad4eb99c8cc241d4e82630b25eb26d1c
70.91 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 4:38:12 P.M.
From: 0x00374FD6D10461B3D50a616173a3fE16eCd5B44c
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x005200158a800640242e37b737c5c3764d5375ce91240945bfc0691e5c24ce6b
158.41 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 4:38:12 P.M.
From: 0x0033bC311e90Da47f553AA52682dD0C25B466d3c
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x00070026bae2e9c2a2def968d51cf3cc7bcd04dfa7816bfc59b731a2b0feddd5