Spike bucket
09/22/2026, 4:37:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/22/2026, 4:37:00 P.M. to 09/22/2026, 4:38:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
56% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 332.84
Unexplained QUAI: 264.4
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 76% of explained volume
Relative context
0.1x above local average
0.2x previous minute
2.6x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
2
50.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
19
Asset volume
597.23 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0048803eF90f765f97eFaFdD55Ca2C96eEbAa97A • 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 597 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0048803eF90f765f97eFaFdD55Ca2C96eEbAa97A • 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Partial source coverage
Last updated: 09/22/2026, 4:37:00 P.M.
Coverage gap moderate (44% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (56%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0048803eF90f765f97eFaFdD55Ca2C96eEbAa97A
Net sender
Unknown type
252.89 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Net receiver
Unknown type
252.89 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x005dbdAC8b21DA4bbfdd2396F9267a634485Db66
Net sender
Unknown type
79.95 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Net receiver
Unknown type
79.95 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
4 tx
597.23 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/22/2026, 4:37:17 P.M.
-1 min
10 tx
2,506.02 QUAI • 28 addresses
09/22/2026, 4:36:05 P.M.
+1 min
2 tx
229.32 QUAI • 3 addresses
09/22/2026, 4:38:28 P.M.
-2 min
3 tx
318.83 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/22/2026, 4:34:53 P.M.
-3 min
3 tx
186.51 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/22/2026, 4:33:41 P.M.
+3 min
2 tx
45.93 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/22/2026, 4:39:40 P.M.
-4 min
8 tx
9,176.3 QUAI • 27 addresses
09/22/2026, 4:32:30 P.M.
+4 min
Best candidate3 tx
60,210.35 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/22/2026, 4:40:51 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
252.89 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 4:37:09 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0048803eF90f765f97eFaFdD55Ca2C96eEbAa97A
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
79.95 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 4:37:09 P.M.
From: 0x005dbdAC8b21DA4bbfdd2396F9267a634485Db66
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x0078005551fb621616af9af90f244713e5d1871c0de1c448d8003cc0107a625c
252.89 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 4:37:09 P.M.
From: 0x0048803eF90f765f97eFaFdD55Ca2C96eEbAa97A
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x003d0036ce92b3b03e5da892b7de01b46aa86c17c2d3c7fb9cd3b66394ab091b