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Spike bucket

09/22/2026, 4:31:00 P.M.

Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.

Window: 09/22/2026, 4:31:00 P.M. to 09/22/2026, 4:32:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 9,176.3
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 54% of explained volume
Relative context
0.0x above local average
0.0x previous minute
0.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
8
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
15
Asset volume
196.57 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default

Event intelligence

high priority
What happened
Top actor concentration: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e • 0x007D3214C60935F4A732eD21141F85B9F9e39BD3.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 197 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e • 0x007D3214C60935F4A732eD21141F85B9F9e39BD3.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/22/2026, 4:31:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
  • Confirm behavior (distribution).
  • Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
  • Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.

Top actors in this event

0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Net receiver
Unknown type
5,142 QUAI across 3 visible rows
StratumX miner
Net sender
Miner wallet
4,950 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
MEXC hot wallet
Net sender
Exchange
3,833.49 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
0x00641b564408D937179203D09C1754D867Af6527
Net receiver
Unknown type
3,833.49 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0049948d5fBf40B06E6965543eB2620476e82a3e
Net sender
Unknown type
155.26 QUAI across 1 visible row

Relationship intelligence

Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 3,833.49 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI

Evidence checks

Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
  • Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
  • Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
  • Review latest signal or spike before changing status.

Autonomous outcome

Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigations

Inspect nearby minutes

Jump around the selected bucket quickly when the exact minute is sparse, delayed, or mostly aggregated.

Biggest whale alert

4,950 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 4:31:38 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: StratumX miner
0x007D3214C60935F4A732eD21141F85B9F9e39BD3
Miner wallet
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e

All transfers in this selected minute

8 transactions
36.74 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 4:31:38 P.M.
From: 0x001c039f068f7EE0A76fd8A089493c6A2bced7FD
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x0000002e698ab293e7a8fee3a575a76cc9134d618e70ad4090f708da27b8706e
37.45 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 4:31:38 P.M.
From: 0x0062C7a3aC251EEA521F8e89AC6E4A74D34Ec051
To: 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Tx: 0x0056005270bdb617f230d9514acb91838c9d5c9bd091e0d91f3e2ddf9bdeda4a
155.26 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 4:31:38 P.M.
From: 0x0049948d5fBf40B06E6965543eB2620476e82a3e
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x003d00519d44dddc5001c8e262148855894bc4df869712266435ad758d96ea49
68.62 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 4:31:38 P.M.
From: 0x007114Cc7beEb377eC72cd2C5717Bbf2dbf56e78
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0022003da941bb50e183f72deca6c855f7721435cbca5833e102ba64590c1670
Open txWallet profile
63.39 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 4:31:38 P.M.
From: 0x0048803eF90f765f97eFaFdD55Ca2C96eEbAa97A
To: 0x004Bc407903A51506bcF0b1aB423958c5991c237
Tx: 0x0026000deabb951d24c246bd69727d9237ee9a1197e7446f82acda94b8ee60ac
Open txWallet profile
31.35 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 4:31:38 P.M.
From: 0x00231A7719a6fCA71b675eb8a7dF3da4356E0785
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0005003eea31403a5c1a92c290ca4fb5934e4ac6fdb8951eef4002545b74b8d7
Open txWallet profile
3,833.49 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 4:31:38 P.M.
From: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
To: 0x00641b564408D937179203D09C1754D867Af6527
Tx: 0x000c0043bd14063c75494e7ac367e25dd214d392d9093a5fcfd0fb839adbba6a
Open txWallet profile
4,950 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 4:31:38 P.M.
From: StratumX miner
0x007D3214C60935F4A732eD21141F85B9F9e39BD3
Miner wallet
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x0063002d079eb5c2b8939fbb37624db77c77dc6b8bcfaefcf11391337361672a