Spike bucket
09/22/2026, 4:17:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/22/2026, 4:17:00 P.M. to 09/22/2026, 4:18:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 314.28
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 66% of explained volume
Relative context
0.0x above local average
0.4x previous minute
0.8x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
2
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
3
Asset volume
314.28 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e • 0x003210BD27b272106ddC51710e8Fc7Fd0D6D2819.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 314 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e • 0x003210BD27b272106ddC51710e8Fc7Fd0D6D2819.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/22/2026, 4:17:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Net receiver
Unknown type
314.28 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x003210BD27b272106ddC51710e8Fc7Fd0D6D2819
Net sender
Unknown type
206.7 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002D61B41fE3c140AcE8Ad51A4cca7fa48a3cBdE
Net sender
Unknown type
107.58 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate5 tx
104,601.81 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/22/2026, 4:16:58 P.M.
-1 min
2 tx
776.49 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/22/2026, 4:15:46 P.M.
+1 min
3 tx
386.37 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/22/2026, 4:18:09 P.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/22/2026, 4:14:35 P.M.
+2 min
7 tx
732.4 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/22/2026, 4:19:21 P.M.
-4 min
12 tx
14,160.21 QUAI • 27 addresses
09/22/2026, 4:13:23 P.M.
+4 min
4 tx
5,301.55 QUAI • 23 addresses
09/22/2026, 4:20:33 P.M.
-5 min
6 tx
608.28 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/22/2026, 4:12:11 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
206.7 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 4:17:27 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x003210BD27b272106ddC51710e8Fc7Fd0D6D2819
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
107.58 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 4:17:27 P.M.
From: 0x002D61B41fE3c140AcE8Ad51A4cca7fa48a3cBdE
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x0009003063a2ed7954cc0697be7300359852db67d9c9d7de9bdb4912ff16ab9a
206.7 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 4:17:27 P.M.
From: 0x003210BD27b272106ddC51710e8Fc7Fd0D6D2819
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x002c0027c450cb7aeeee9f24685a336f3d6a23ec7f9536e399bada14a918bfff