Spike bucket
09/22/2026, 4:01:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/22/2026, 4:01:00 P.M. to 09/22/2026, 4:02:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 41,711.24
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 96% of explained volume
Relative context
7.6x above local average
33x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
6
Observable rows
11
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
18
Asset volume
40,475.01 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x006cD031486ec2aDbD4D38a55a162b216c813A3C.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 40475 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 68
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x006cD031486ec2aDbD4D38a55a162b216c813A3C.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 11 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/22/2026, 4:01:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 11 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net sender
Exchange
39,996 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
0x006cD031486ec2aDbD4D38a55a162b216c813A3C
Net receiver
Unknown type
39,996 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x007F3dee067F965321c3c6a49C53cc4B4734b929
Net sender
Unknown type
899.5 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x007582804967a3F4BcA40db8d40cCE4070F00dFD
Net receiver
Unknown type
899.5 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Net receiver
Unknown type
718.94 QUAI across 7 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 39,996 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate6 tx
40,475.01 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/22/2026, 4:01:20 P.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/22/2026, 4:00:08 P.M.
-2 min
4 tx
469.77 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/22/2026, 3:58:57 P.M.
+2 min
5 tx
1,236.23 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/22/2026, 4:02:32 P.M.
-3 min
1 tx
52.3 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/22/2026, 3:57:45 P.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
09/22/2026, 4:03:43 P.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 8 addresses
09/22/2026, 3:56:34 P.M.
+4 min
5 tx
285.99 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/22/2026, 4:04:56 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
39,996 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 4:01:07 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
To: 0x006cD031486ec2aDbD4D38a55a162b216c813A3C
All transfers in this selected minute
11 transactions
91.18 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 4:01:59 P.M.
From: 0x00752239b55ca5D2e722Fa2f5b4Dc76E9dF3db9E
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x00430067f99cea54807712161e5424c7c5c66e6d4dca0a9e8bd310add1163740
99.42 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 4:01:31 P.M.
From: 0x000069691B07CC01498ECe6f69C87e89887033fc
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x0002005477719a394e001ee419ab10756f899e0eb61dbbceca734a3e74fab881
899.5 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 4:01:31 P.M.
From: 0x007F3dee067F965321c3c6a49C53cc4B4734b929
To: 0x007582804967a3F4BcA40db8d40cCE4070F00dFD
Tx: 0x0065001f906d85a851cc980f654726f9fae5e3e4214cd68323ad253bf10060da
51.59 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 4:01:31 P.M.
From: 0x005597d47822d26B3F3eb9546B370D4d803e8f69
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x002e00195d2ba557f1fa542fd717c931c5abca3114d9dad65c4656d61bcf2a20
94.55 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 4:01:31 P.M.
From: 0x0063331AeB08C27f8E4226433A84C492A3955d63
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x003a006ea0c30dcde4f6e1bd7a9efad404289dbfa10b8fb9ca7f693aa3f23dc8
75.46 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 4:01:07 P.M.
From: 0x002921A58F4b88B5B6782B8b369120393Ef27b26
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x00170074b99eaed1d1e0a09a59a23ab3d9d85a999be71d20527e0e7916b08c2c
95.47 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 4:01:07 P.M.
From: 0x002D61B41fE3c140AcE8Ad51A4cca7fa48a3cBdE
To: 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Tx: 0x0031001552db983f99aaf4231ac70ed1bdab3e13bb84817b3c0daa9d61ca21e9
264.63 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 4:01:07 P.M.
From: 0x0033bC311e90Da47f553AA52682dD0C25B466d3c
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x006a00689f6526e3745773642e16fb9a2eb13faf087cce87b691f4f932d38615
42.12 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 4:01:07 P.M.
From: 0x007ec137A2Cb6D9A046273cB172461AF47a0eCe8
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x005f001c983653c56689b0caa27ebb8ef22e1332e768c092087aad87d5108ae9
1.34 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 4:01:07 P.M.
From: 0x000eF1ed645F16Fb1388C764Ae4f05e35625B3A6
To: 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211
Tx: 0x004d005ecba02e4fa364dd436d1a46ba91346f57f05f294e453b9743a2c6e0fe
39,996 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 4:01:07 P.M.
From: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
To: 0x006cD031486ec2aDbD4D38a55a162b216c813A3C
Tx: 0x003c005d59d3f5056bca5489a17739be366bf480b2595f1a4445278d45c89601