Spike bucket
09/22/2026, 3:54:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/22/2026, 3:54:00 P.M. to 09/22/2026, 3:55:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 567.35
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 40% of explained volume
Relative context
0.9x above local average
1.2x previous minute
0.6x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
5
Observable rows
6
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
8
Asset volume
349.92 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e • 0x0049948d5fBf40B06E6965543eB2620476e82a3e.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 350 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e • 0x0049948d5fBf40B06E6965543eB2620476e82a3e.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/22/2026, 3:54:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Net receiver
Unknown type
434.22 QUAI across 4 visible rows
0x0049948d5fBf40B06E6965543eB2620476e82a3e
Net sender
Unknown type
226.18 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x005679FC95ee7eA46D81D91eE6c59A9344a4AC11
Net sender
Unknown type
110.26 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002521D801561CcC0dCBf08d49EcC10bBc7d0a81
Net sender
Unknown type
94.69 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Net receiver
Unknown type
94.69 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
5 tx
349.92 QUAI • 8 addresses
09/22/2026, 3:54:11 P.M.
-1 min
5 tx
294.91 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/22/2026, 3:53:00 P.M.
+1 min
6 tx
567.35 QUAI • 23 addresses
09/22/2026, 3:55:23 P.M.
-2 min
3 tx
277.31 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/22/2026, 3:51:48 P.M.
-3 min
1 tx
500 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/22/2026, 3:50:36 P.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 8 addresses
09/22/2026, 3:56:34 P.M.
+4 min
1 tx
52.3 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/22/2026, 3:57:45 P.M.
-5 min
Best candidate8 tx
1,041.98 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/22/2026, 3:49:24 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
226.18 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 3:54:44 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0049948d5fBf40B06E6965543eB2620476e82a3e
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
All transfers in this selected minute
6 transactions
53.33 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 3:54:44 P.M.
From: 0x005dbdAC8b21DA4bbfdd2396F9267a634485Db66
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x006c002b09b03fc90d744b5c0f8f17212189aa49b65b08385871c619a187dc90
94.69 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 3:54:44 P.M.
From: 0x002521D801561CcC0dCBf08d49EcC10bBc7d0a81
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x004600732a47b5e797a627d0e4056fc6c77af56288c5d27449e8bc5e6a07955f
44.44 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 3:54:44 P.M.
From: 0x00374FD6D10461B3D50a616173a3fE16eCd5B44c
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x006b006989ab89e83431757731f499284ba4c938716983c88d045165049ec335
226.18 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 3:54:44 P.M.
From: 0x0049948d5fBf40B06E6965543eB2620476e82a3e
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x003a000f59439658a74519bd22a0e381bd6d95bef47014f5c019c0ad375b17b8
38.44 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 3:54:44 P.M.
From: 0x007ec137A2Cb6D9A046273cB172461AF47a0eCe8
To: 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Tx: 0x001e0058d21b2ac87bdf9c98271e226b2a497258386cf271b8e046056e2fdb74
110.26 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 3:54:44 P.M.
From: 0x005679FC95ee7eA46D81D91eE6c59A9344a4AC11
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x006a0013c8e00bf306805330790e47a812fb241fed155468be8314f3637fd4fd