Spike bucket
09/22/2026, 3:46:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/22/2026, 3:46:00 P.M. to 09/22/2026, 3:47:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 542.85
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 20% of explained volume
Relative context
1.5x above local average
1.1x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Visible rows explain most of the spike, with no single transfer dominating.
The visible flow is broad and internally consistent.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
8
Observable rows
8
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
22
Asset volume
542.85 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e • 0x004F34eFEd1BF1234A801D410dEC6ee53C574f4e.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + high confidence + 543 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e • 0x004F34eFEd1BF1234A801D410dEC6ee53C574f4e.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/22/2026, 3:46:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Net receiver
Unknown type
329.47 QUAI across 5 visible rows
0x004F34eFEd1BF1234A801D410dEC6ee53C574f4e
Net sender
Unknown type
110.74 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006576A80291829C0404F17D225d189045674F1D
Net sender
Unknown type
102.41 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x007ec137A2Cb6D9A046273cB172461AF47a0eCe8
Net sender
Unknown type
94.02 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Net receiver
Unknown type
94.02 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
2 tx
42.81 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/22/2026, 3:45:46 P.M.
-1 min
5 tx
499.06 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/22/2026, 3:44:35 P.M.
+1 min
8 tx
542.85 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/22/2026, 3:46:59 P.M.
+2 min
1 tx
223.51 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/22/2026, 3:48:10 P.M.
-3 min
3 tx
263.83 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/22/2026, 3:43:23 P.M.
+3 min
Best candidate8 tx
1,041.98 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/22/2026, 3:49:24 P.M.
-4 min
4 tx
204.22 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/22/2026, 3:42:11 P.M.
-5 min
2 tx
139.16 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/22/2026, 3:40:59 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
110.74 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 3:46:36 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x004F34eFEd1BF1234A801D410dEC6ee53C574f4e
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
All transfers in this selected minute
8 transactions
72.36 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 3:46:54 P.M.
From: 0x001c039f068f7EE0A76fd8A089493c6A2bced7FD
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x0066003f9eca19c1a7ab9a7a232d7d7cdcaa5b5b849527fd92191086c33b5f54
20.94 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 3:46:54 P.M.
From: 0x002921A58F4b88B5B6782B8b369120393Ef27b26
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x004f0009080be3a7f0de9acda3a310da224bb0f07ef24fe6390a80aa4665bf88
23.03 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 3:46:54 P.M.
From: 0x001DAce696Fc03C6Fc687dcF04Cbee232e28EB7b
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x000500626832007d819ce40225537c41e829ef1ddd076f2d0490f439ab5efe95
73.93 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 3:46:39 P.M.
From: 0x0053E63531C129f8678803beEb62546dF2fAD31d
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x001e00638311db0297de8ac6a3e17054d2c8ba75f8a6eddd0bab78330d2262e1
102.41 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 3:46:36 P.M.
From: 0x006576A80291829C0404F17D225d189045674F1D
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x0015001f2e168612afd5c1fc5c592ef6b9d3da8ba40f2b5545e499a81c2eebc8
110.74 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 3:46:36 P.M.
From: 0x004F34eFEd1BF1234A801D410dEC6ee53C574f4e
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x006d005fca0492a3e3ee4d49ecad746028397970358ce9ab97229a43b4a990d4
45.43 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 3:46:14 P.M.
From: 0x00752239b55ca5D2e722Fa2f5b4Dc76E9dF3db9E
To: 0x00537a0527b7fAeBdB12BFFcD2481125Fb1A3ee7
Tx: 0x003f000f0e6b64f3680302dcb0a4ecca2ec36d5da53f413aa0a74c72ec43cccc
94.02 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 3:46:04 P.M.
From: 0x007ec137A2Cb6D9A046273cB172461AF47a0eCe8
To: 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Tx: 0x007700715150f239e10ead34a9f0faa75782a50dbe2e84aa46f4d95b6f013da6
