Spike bucket
09/22/2026, 3:37:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/22/2026, 3:37:00 P.M. to 09/22/2026, 3:38:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
63% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 272.64
Unexplained QUAI: 157.6
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 39% of explained volume
Relative context
0.3x above local average
0.7x previous minute
1.9x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
5
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
17
Asset volume
430.24 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e • 0x0064ee78ef1634cAF9a4DD337Ec80c0Ff1045061.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 430 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e • 0x0064ee78ef1634cAF9a4DD337Ec80c0Ff1045061.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Partial source coverage
Last updated: 09/22/2026, 3:37:00 P.M.
Coverage gap moderate (37% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Net receiver
Unknown type
221.98 QUAI across 4 visible rows
0x0064ee78ef1634cAF9a4DD337Ec80c0Ff1045061
Net sender
Unknown type
105.07 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002D61B41fE3c140AcE8Ad51A4cca7fa48a3cBdE
Net sender
Unknown type
59.05 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00790A8A273Fc05820818eFBADc78da09d591c7d
Net sender
Unknown type
50.66 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00537a0527b7fAeBdB12BFFcD2481125Fb1A3ee7
Net receiver
Unknown type
50.66 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
3 tx
430.24 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/22/2026, 3:37:22 P.M.
-1 min
3 tx
645.07 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/22/2026, 3:36:11 P.M.
-2 min
1 tx
106.57 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/22/2026, 3:34:59 P.M.
+2 min
4 tx
221.98 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/22/2026, 3:38:36 P.M.
-3 min
7 tx
1,281.25 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/22/2026, 3:33:47 P.M.
+3 min
Best candidate2 tx
10,293.82 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/22/2026, 3:39:47 P.M.
-4 min
9 tx
564.04 QUAI • 26 addresses
09/22/2026, 3:32:35 P.M.
+4 min
2 tx
139.16 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/22/2026, 3:40:59 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
105.07 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 3:37:38 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0064ee78ef1634cAF9a4DD337Ec80c0Ff1045061
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
All transfers in this selected minute
5 transactions
28.78 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 3:37:38 P.M.
From: 0x001DAce696Fc03C6Fc687dcF04Cbee232e28EB7b
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x004e005923fe83b86091f6ff31af57d698cf469961a2d84bc188fc375551fe0d
29.08 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 3:37:38 P.M.
From: 0x006d6f94092Ef4da38ccF4a5Fcaf42578be48833
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x003800658d2213ed97734e34a3f3cee4384a8859b6213fb91ffcbe9a8113a304
105.07 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 3:37:38 P.M.
From: 0x0064ee78ef1634cAF9a4DD337Ec80c0Ff1045061
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x00620057f4775495693804c315dc03ee08d915dcaaa492fb7a015d459cc3552b
59.05 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 3:37:38 P.M.
From: 0x002D61B41fE3c140AcE8Ad51A4cca7fa48a3cBdE
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x007e0060a1be3c5bdde3462332ce6c7ccfe8fc6ceb311b54466c6f39ab329535
50.66 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 3:37:07 P.M.
From: 0x00790A8A273Fc05820818eFBADc78da09d591c7d
To: 0x00537a0527b7fAeBdB12BFFcD2481125Fb1A3ee7
Tx: 0x0018007302c25671b29749d7e9b66152129f3c2ac7839eb3287f9ce2ce7ac86a
