Spike bucket
09/22/2026, 3:36:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/22/2026, 3:36:00 P.M. to 09/22/2026, 3:37:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
67% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 432.99
Unexplained QUAI: 212.08
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 66% of explained volume
Relative context
0.4x above local average
6.1x previous minute
1.5x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
17
Asset volume
645.07 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e • 0x004F34eFEd1BF1234A801D410dEC6ee53C574f4e.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 645 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e • 0x004F34eFEd1BF1234A801D410dEC6ee53C574f4e.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Partial source coverage
Last updated: 09/22/2026, 3:36:00 P.M.
Coverage gap moderate (33% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Net receiver
Unknown type
379.58 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x004F34eFEd1BF1234A801D410dEC6ee53C574f4e
Net sender
Unknown type
287.31 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001c039f068f7EE0A76fd8A089493c6A2bced7FD
Net sender
Unknown type
92.28 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x007ec137A2Cb6D9A046273cB172461AF47a0eCe8
Net sender
Unknown type
53.41 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Net receiver
Unknown type
53.41 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
3 tx
645.07 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/22/2026, 3:36:11 P.M.
-1 min
1 tx
106.57 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/22/2026, 3:34:59 P.M.
+1 min
3 tx
430.24 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/22/2026, 3:37:22 P.M.
-2 min
7 tx
1,281.25 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/22/2026, 3:33:47 P.M.
-3 min
9 tx
564.04 QUAI • 26 addresses
09/22/2026, 3:32:35 P.M.
+3 min
4 tx
221.98 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/22/2026, 3:38:36 P.M.
+4 min
Best candidate2 tx
10,293.82 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/22/2026, 3:39:47 P.M.
-5 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/22/2026, 3:31:23 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
287.31 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 3:36:19 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x004F34eFEd1BF1234A801D410dEC6ee53C574f4e
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
92.28 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 3:36:45 P.M.
From: 0x001c039f068f7EE0A76fd8A089493c6A2bced7FD
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x0076005534152f3ed77d3435944afa1ce2b217eafcd5c2d88c0042d23663e069
287.31 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 3:36:19 P.M.
From: 0x004F34eFEd1BF1234A801D410dEC6ee53C574f4e
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x00550027388758682a440f4da8e7e042398e10912ab58b8be6733914f7d26239
53.41 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 3:36:00 P.M.
From: 0x007ec137A2Cb6D9A046273cB172461AF47a0eCe8
To: 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Tx: 0x007c004bccb20411faaa64b2f361a0a60341985617076b3651f43f8ae6484171