Spike bucket
09/22/2026, 3:31:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/22/2026, 3:31:00 P.M. to 09/22/2026, 3:32:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 500.84
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 59% of explained volume
Relative context
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
8
Observable rows
8
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
13
Asset volume
0 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e • 0x00387Bae39612306B4EC444e5F8C5E0c35563BAF.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 0 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e • 0x00387Bae39612306B4EC444e5F8C5E0c35563BAF.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/22/2026, 3:31:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Net receiver
Unknown type
400.76 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x00387Bae39612306B4EC444e5F8C5E0c35563BAF
Net sender
Unknown type
297.61 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004F34eFEd1BF1234A801D410dEC6ee53C574f4e
Net sender
Unknown type
103.15 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Net receiver
Unknown type
79.61 QUAI across 5 visible rows
0x00231A7719a6fCA71b675eb8a7dF3da4356E0785
Net sender
Unknown type
29.41 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/22/2026, 3:31:23 P.M.
-1 min
11 tx
846.38 QUAI • 33 addresses
09/22/2026, 3:30:11 P.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
09/22/2026, 3:28:58 P.M.
+2 min
9 tx
564.04 QUAI • 26 addresses
09/22/2026, 3:32:35 P.M.
-3 min
4 tx
443.27 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/22/2026, 3:27:47 P.M.
+3 min
Best candidate7 tx
1,281.25 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/22/2026, 3:33:47 P.M.
-4 min
3 tx
1,259.16 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/22/2026, 3:26:35 P.M.
+4 min
1 tx
106.57 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/22/2026, 3:34:59 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
297.61 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 3:31:43 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00387Bae39612306B4EC444e5F8C5E0c35563BAF
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
All transfers in this selected minute
8 transactions
297.61 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 3:31:43 P.M.
From: 0x00387Bae39612306B4EC444e5F8C5E0c35563BAF
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x00780060816feded058a9ebf18b5824e9c98a4ffd27241f8d69ab345484e9d05
20.47 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 3:31:43 P.M.
From: 0x00700BD124Ffab1f7062D177aF1BB323Efee2665
To: 0x000284FD8Df039CFF2949b62D854dc43c2Eae6E1
Tx: 0x00430034c74cbff1c9b06575e22a87cf6c6d50ab4cc2e617902f41e25693832f
103.15 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 3:31:23 P.M.
From: 0x004F34eFEd1BF1234A801D410dEC6ee53C574f4e
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x0019002ba2d47ff2ff78f2af980b0f4e24a90a0acfe844c411d347b1fff4e6bb
9.4 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 3:31:23 P.M.
From: 0x00042ebf5e2dabBb79A67343711A89B76c7D1c49
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x000d00134a790f6df11ae4c2016c551e85f04d0a252b3501a89b628ea1ae6988
29.41 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 3:31:23 P.M.
From: 0x00231A7719a6fCA71b675eb8a7dF3da4356E0785
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x005b0034fd39a24c40d38509f767be9306f11671bacf5a2dc14b9da9bda0cb01
4.13 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 3:31:23 P.M.
From: 0x00093Df76A2EE3Cf4A58d7C6855c1b84df891F9b
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x00020035576f51907efe8c08d60a979d0b359f4fdedebb297f17c0fc7c581a6f
15.94 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 3:31:23 P.M.
From: 0x00570Ada40BFabECe2047797D415bB02e57a427f
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0073000a78eb541f943626e109a6fb3cc942b43bc21b5c13cbd350194be07997
20.73 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 3:31:23 P.M.
From: 0x007D681158b62f8f3843793004d1abAF52C49a37
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x005a0018e59e681ddbad085179f81e2418aacd87afbd736c3d8eab56530a2e24