Spike bucket
09/22/2026, 3:25:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/22/2026, 3:25:00 P.M. to 09/22/2026, 3:26:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
19% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 6,385
Unexplained QUAI: 26,516.19
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 18% of explained volume
Relative context
0.3x above local average
2.4x previous minute
26x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by distributed visible activity.
The spike appears distributed, but some of the bucket still remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
37
Observable rows
10
27.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
50
Asset volume
32,901.19 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987 • 0x000C325AFba59B33925234e86d22f7DeCE7a1D97.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + low confidence + 32901 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 32
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987 • 0x000C325AFba59B33925234e86d22f7DeCE7a1D97.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 10 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/22/2026, 3:25:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (81% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 10 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • observable coverage remains partial (19%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
Gate.io hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
4,974.87 QUAI across 6 visible rows
Known watch context
0x000C325AFba59B33925234e86d22f7DeCE7a1D97
Net sender
Unknown type
1,161.5 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x007F3dee067F965321c3c6a49C53cc4B4734b929
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,150 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000431e64aa6008591d75B65583d646Ecd5C911a
Net sender
Unknown type
905.67 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0034F71E0b2B37467BEc63dfE5ae1F5065c297C3
Net sender
Unknown type
836.95 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 4,974.87 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
37 tx
32,901.19 QUAI • 50 addresses
09/22/2026, 3:25:23 P.M.
-1 min
12 tx
13,599.92 QUAI • 26 addresses
09/22/2026, 3:24:11 P.M.
-2 min
29 tx
84,734.45 QUAI • 44 addresses
09/22/2026, 3:22:59 P.M.
+2 min
3 tx
1,259.16 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/22/2026, 3:26:35 P.M.
-3 min
Best candidate13 tx
799,244.19 QUAI • 30 addresses
09/22/2026, 3:21:46 P.M.
+3 min
4 tx
443.27 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/22/2026, 3:27:47 P.M.
-4 min
2 tx
186.24 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/22/2026, 3:20:34 P.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
09/22/2026, 3:28:58 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,150 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 3:25:31 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x000C325AFba59B33925234e86d22f7DeCE7a1D97
To: 0x007F3dee067F965321c3c6a49C53cc4B4734b929
All transfers in this selected minute
10 transactions
1,150 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 3:25:31 P.M.
From: 0x000C325AFba59B33925234e86d22f7DeCE7a1D97
To: 0x007F3dee067F965321c3c6a49C53cc4B4734b929
Tx: 0x002a007f1147c6aea22688871425addcb6d928730868eea11d427d33099b8165
11.5 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 3:25:31 P.M.
From: 0x000C325AFba59B33925234e86d22f7DeCE7a1D97
To: 0x006d0067e3a5FFF1E38975d03B664780E3723103
Tx: 0x00690017ef85d71deefcf001a61e967bf3a30e71eaef4ad6b9ac3ea081ed2d9d
97.66 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 3:25:31 P.M.
From: 0x003596A67E27c316a9DFAb62271be0F9e38C9171
To: 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Tx: 0x001e0073eea773e05860e9f8de10341c232f3ec43f1917c334fa5d188ce050b1
811.76 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 3:25:18 P.M.
From: 0x000C11662eE5319eFc008367C8C2BD47bFc81584
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x0047000bc7f7900bb4d0246dca21220d47424e494ff1534ac61d886753039484
810.35 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 3:25:18 P.M.
From: 0x001E385793e13937a926438982110d7052f00f62
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x002a0026462efcd96ad3a7350a97618a25108d01173c881e6b9ac56dbba9f971
793.09 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 3:25:18 P.M.
From: 0x004a8E53ffcE813f9948115d9C7914878a865461
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x006f007893bd41256459438948fc3ca6ec28bdb25c94ee06ebc127caf386d251
150.96 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 3:25:00 P.M.
From: 0x0033bC311e90Da47f553AA52682dD0C25B466d3c
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x00010040ce42262c78d5e7784d17abde6442e5ed9ecd60d179dbae077dec6fc3
905.67 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 3:25:00 P.M.
From: 0x000431e64aa6008591d75B65583d646Ecd5C911a
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x007900167ffd3e836fd075cfc5f1bd9a6508313cb967d3911c84ad5096aca817
836.95 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 3:25:00 P.M.
From: 0x0034F71E0b2B37467BEc63dfE5ae1F5065c297C3
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x0041003e5cd08299cd024ea3a828f43a45f8557eafc22cd3f833b149025b2731
817.05 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 3:25:00 P.M.
From: 0x0072c6B921c9476c2111A6D5842010A3f142F8b8
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x0034005f4934cba520d05cccc6992aab11a4bf0ff6bdde5b9d90bf24993e457e