Spike bucket
09/22/2026, 3:16:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/22/2026, 3:16:00 P.M. to 09/22/2026, 3:17:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
0% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 319.34
Unexplained QUAI: 91,686.23
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 48% of explained volume
Relative context
1.9x above local average
44x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by multiple visible transfers.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
7
Observable rows
4
57.1% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
24
Asset volume
92,005.57 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e • 0x00108CFC51194215AA43a63a285B8Ebf38D9f64e.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + low confidence + 92006 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 42
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e • 0x00108CFC51194215AA43a63a285B8Ebf38D9f64e.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/22/2026, 3:16:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (100% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (0%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Net receiver
Unknown type
293.46 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x00108CFC51194215AA43a63a285B8Ebf38D9f64e
Net sender
Unknown type
152.11 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00332870c994AEb3eA1C18548Afc6E3B2Ce5ba19
Net sender
Unknown type
88.14 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00752239b55ca5D2e722Fa2f5b4Dc76E9dF3db9E
Net sender
Unknown type
53.21 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x007ec137A2Cb6D9A046273cB172461AF47a0eCe8
Net sender
Unknown type
25.88 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate2 tx
148,683 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/22/2026, 3:15:46 P.M.
-1 min
4 tx
2,076.55 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/22/2026, 3:14:35 P.M.
+1 min
7 tx
92,005.57 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/22/2026, 3:16:58 P.M.
+2 min
5 tx
138,830.17 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/22/2026, 3:18:09 P.M.
-3 min
5 tx
1,388.09 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/22/2026, 3:13:23 P.M.
+3 min
1 tx
117.24 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/22/2026, 3:19:23 P.M.
-4 min
7 tx
709.37 QUAI • 23 addresses
09/22/2026, 3:12:11 P.M.
-5 min
21 tx
1,335.5 QUAI • 35 addresses
09/22/2026, 3:10:59 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
152.11 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 3:16:19 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00108CFC51194215AA43a63a285B8Ebf38D9f64e
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
25.88 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 3:16:39 P.M.
From: 0x007ec137A2Cb6D9A046273cB172461AF47a0eCe8
To: 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Tx: 0x0040002fa0bf7770e6d426d4945773092f145ba619978c1c94ebb2f192152d02
88.14 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 3:16:26 P.M.
From: 0x00332870c994AEb3eA1C18548Afc6E3B2Ce5ba19
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x007e004f5692e80dbf2d84ed625edc992688a895aa8a7ced58d63dc76f7d202b
53.21 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 3:16:19 P.M.
From: 0x00752239b55ca5D2e722Fa2f5b4Dc76E9dF3db9E
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x006000598519685ead0f281e4f0a7bfc5ee2acf7a8780eca727c5f74e4c33182
152.11 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 3:16:19 P.M.
From: 0x00108CFC51194215AA43a63a285B8Ebf38D9f64e
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x000100750e598a31312b8aa68a783e0bbe553c6babbcb5d27b98cdb7719c7645