Spike bucket
09/22/2026, 3:15:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/22/2026, 3:15:00 P.M. to 09/22/2026, 3:16:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
62% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Large spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 91,686.23
Unexplained QUAI: 56,996.77
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 100% of explained volume
Relative context
3.1x above local average
107x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
18
Asset volume
148,683 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
critical priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00349865429c8EBA272738DDFc05e1e8a4d0B413 • 0x004D70fd6AbA65fd5a23c8510e74aeE1836e3713.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 148683 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 74
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00349865429c8EBA272738DDFc05e1e8a4d0B413 • 0x004D70fd6AbA65fd5a23c8510e74aeE1836e3713.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Partial source coverage
Last updated: 09/22/2026, 3:15:00 P.M.
Coverage gap moderate (38% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
High urgency signal paired with your investigation. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x00349865429c8EBA272738DDFc05e1e8a4d0B413
Net sender
Unknown type
91,500 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004D70fd6AbA65fd5a23c8510e74aeE1836e3713
Net receiver
Unknown type
91,500 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Net receiver
Unknown type
186.23 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x001c039f068f7EE0A76fd8A089493c6A2bced7FD
Net sender
Unknown type
98.19 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x005597d47822d26B3F3eb9546B370D4d803e8f69
Net sender
Unknown type
88.04 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
4 tx
2,076.55 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/22/2026, 3:14:35 P.M.
+1 min
Best candidate2 tx
148,683 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/22/2026, 3:15:46 P.M.
-2 min
5 tx
1,388.09 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/22/2026, 3:13:23 P.M.
+2 min
7 tx
92,005.57 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/22/2026, 3:16:58 P.M.
-3 min
7 tx
709.37 QUAI • 23 addresses
09/22/2026, 3:12:11 P.M.
+3 min
5 tx
138,830.17 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/22/2026, 3:18:09 P.M.
-4 min
21 tx
1,335.5 QUAI • 35 addresses
09/22/2026, 3:10:59 P.M.
+4 min
1 tx
117.24 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/22/2026, 3:19:23 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
91,500 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 3:15:52 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00349865429c8EBA272738DDFc05e1e8a4d0B413
To: 0x004D70fd6AbA65fd5a23c8510e74aeE1836e3713
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
88.04 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 3:15:52 P.M.
From: 0x005597d47822d26B3F3eb9546B370D4d803e8f69
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x003a0028efad5e53cb848f56f8a10c693f876cd874f7ca0a933c93c775d2444a
98.19 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 3:15:52 P.M.
From: 0x001c039f068f7EE0A76fd8A089493c6A2bced7FD
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x0019005c8207f39c8d9ebb86955c5f15dd0b98d2a05ebdd585cdcb8ae1c71ff3
91,500 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 3:15:52 P.M.
From: 0x00349865429c8EBA272738DDFc05e1e8a4d0B413
To: 0x004D70fd6AbA65fd5a23c8510e74aeE1836e3713
Tx: 0x003a0048e18fb7ec3c5797169f3b37a0b4c0053d6cae63abeb551eda2da17e5f