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Inspect spike

Spike bucket

09/22/2026, 3:02:00 P.M.

Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.

Window: 09/22/2026, 3:02:00 P.M. to 09/22/2026, 3:03:00 P.M.

Partially observable spike

medium confidence

67% coverage

Coverage

Explained QUAI: 839.4

Unexplained QUAI: 406.11

Facts

Pattern: Distributed activity

Dominant transfer: 26% of explained volume

Relative context

0.4x above local average

1.0x next minute

Interpretation

This spike is partially explained by distributed visible activity.

The spike appears distributed, but some of the bucket still remains unexplained.

Shard

Cyprus-1

Bucket tx

Observable rows

66.7% of bucket activity rendered as rows

Unique addresses

Asset volume

1,245.52 QUAI

Avg confidence

62.0%

Dominant source: account-shape-default

Event intelligence

medium priority

What happened

Top actor concentration: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e • 0x004D4b36cBb213bf04D5Eb9405db83f650De0688.

Dominant behavior: mixed flow

mixed_flow + medium confidence + 1246 QUAI

This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.

Importance score: 35

Why this spike matters now

Top actor concentration around 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e • 0x004D4b36cBb213bf04D5Eb9405db83f650De0688.

No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.

Confidence context: medium • Source context: account-shape-default

Evidence & confidence

Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available

Based on: 1 related signal • 8 visible transfer rows

Confidence medium • Source account-shape-default

Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet

Data provenance & freshness

Source health: limited • High freshness drift

Stale context window • Partial source coverage

Last updated: 09/22/2026, 3:02:00 P.M.

Coverage gap moderate (33% not covered)

Based on: 1 related signal • 8 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window

Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.

Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.

Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window

Why now

Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.

What to do next

Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.

What to verify

Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.

Top actors in this event

0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e

Net receiver

Unknown type

699.8 QUAI across 5 visible rows

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x004D4b36cBb213bf04D5Eb9405db83f650De0688

Net sender

Unknown type

218.85 QUAI across 1 visible row

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x0049948d5fBf40B06E6965543eB2620476e82a3e

Net sender

Unknown type

195.62 QUAI across 1 visible row

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0

Net receiver

Unknown type

119.36 QUAI across 2 visible rows

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x002D61B41fE3c140AcE8Ad51A4cca7fa48a3cBdE

Net sender

Unknown type

108.24 QUAI across 1 visible row

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

Relationship intelligence

Repeated flow pairs

No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.

Type concentration

To exchange: 0 QUAI

From exchange: 0 QUAI

Whale to whale: 0 QUAI

Alert context Signal feed

Evidence checks

Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.

Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
Review latest signal or spike before changing status.

Autonomous outcome

Read-only canonical source

Cyprus-1 spike

This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.

Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.

View investigations

Inspect nearby minutes

Jump around the selected bucket quickly when the exact minute is sparse, delayed, or mostly aggregated.

-15 min -5 min -1 min +1 min +5 min +15 min Raw alerts API

8 observable transfers were found for this minute, but the bucket total is 12. The remaining 4 entries are chain transactions that were not stored as displayable transfer rows in the current dataset, typically because they are non-value, self, contract/system, or otherwise non-observable transfer activity.

Nearby active minutes

Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes

-1 min

0 tx

0 QUAI • 20 addresses

09/22/2026, 3:01:24 P.M.

+1 min

12 tx

1,245.52 QUAI • 25 addresses

09/22/2026, 3:02:35 P.M.

+2 min

3 tx

251.75 QUAI • 16 addresses

09/22/2026, 3:03:46 P.M.

-3 min

Best candidate6 tx

20,344.65 QUAI • 18 addresses

09/22/2026, 2:59:04 P.M.

+3 min

3 tx

368.33 QUAI • 17 addresses

09/22/2026, 3:04:58 P.M.

-4 min

9 tx

689 QUAI • 26 addresses

09/22/2026, 2:57:52 P.M.

+4 min

2 tx

133.06 QUAI • 3 addresses

09/22/2026, 3:06:10 P.M.

-5 min

0 tx

0 QUAI • 15 addresses

09/22/2026, 2:56:40 P.M.

Biggest whale alert

218.85 QUAI

Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence

Cyprus-1

09/22/2026, 3:02:11 P.M.

QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1

From: 0x004D4b36cBb213bf04D5Eb9405db83f650De0688

To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e

Open tx

All transfers in this selected minute

8 transactions

88.24 QUAI

Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence

Cyprus-1

09/22/2026, 3:02:40 P.M.

From: 0x0033bC311e90Da47f553AA52682dD0C25B466d3c

To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e

Tx: 0x0026005839cda0234d91369b9df55ce9f445942cbb394be3aa180d1399bde361

Open tx

57 QUAI

Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence

Cyprus-1

09/22/2026, 3:02:40 P.M.

From: 0x000069691B07CC01498ECe6f69C87e89887033fc

To: 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0

Tx: 0x00540015f0d7f879beed63c6888db8aa2bc01cc04aadef2dc6b975d52df3c5ec

Open tx

195.62 QUAI

Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence

Cyprus-1

09/22/2026, 3:02:24 P.M.

From: 0x0049948d5fBf40B06E6965543eB2620476e82a3e

To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e

Tx: 0x0020006886c68014803b44875d22c1dde59d5018aa9be6253eca4edc87781c51

Open tx

20.24 QUAI

Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence

Cyprus-1

09/22/2026, 3:02:11 P.M.

From: 0x0062C7a3aC251EEA521F8e89AC6E4A74D34Ec051

To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A

Tx: 0x00270014d89fd651bdbe663016fd4bf466f1cae34b45603076a234afe2c9d4d4

Open tx

108.24 QUAI

Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence

Cyprus-1

09/22/2026, 3:02:11 P.M.

From: 0x002D61B41fE3c140AcE8Ad51A4cca7fa48a3cBdE

To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e

Tx: 0x0063001d97ced648eafdccfe835bf5d24fc5abb6fe641dc40f6bc2e55b6e4bb5

Open tx

62.36 QUAI

Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence

Cyprus-1

09/22/2026, 3:02:11 P.M.

From: 0x00422Db0B7172dE5aA4Dad8d17923ea23BC8fEaA

To: 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0

Tx: 0x005c005f2689876063b3e4f60612df9f42248fa3e33d91ca934687954ad9abc0

Open tx

88.85 QUAI

Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence

Cyprus-1

09/22/2026, 3:02:11 P.M.

From: 0x003210BD27b272106ddC51710e8Fc7Fd0D6D2819

To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e

Tx: 0x0013003e5aba617c9ce440202c68a02b7467a2e1202ee0173bdb970d8202310a

Open tx

218.85 QUAI

Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence

Cyprus-1

09/22/2026, 3:02:11 P.M.

From: 0x004D4b36cBb213bf04D5Eb9405db83f650De0688

To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e

Tx: 0x001a001344095aa801c2064186f20481e67820e6901a8d1dd2a4f255199842d7

Open tx