Spike bucket
09/22/2026, 2:54:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/22/2026, 2:54:00 P.M. to 09/22/2026, 2:55:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 562.73
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 27% of explained volume
Relative context
0.4x above local average
2.0x previous minute
0.2x next minute
Interpretation
Visible rows explain most of the spike, with no single transfer dominating.
The visible flow is broad and internally consistent.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
5
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
17
Asset volume
129.19 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e • 0x0032931A2bf3C5e97fba0886Ac9E17B005808b3B.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + high confidence + 129 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e • 0x0032931A2bf3C5e97fba0886Ac9E17B005808b3B.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/22/2026, 2:54:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Net receiver
Unknown type
450.37 QUAI across 4 visible rows
0x0032931A2bf3C5e97fba0886Ac9E17B005808b3B
Net sender
Unknown type
152.96 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004D4b36cBb213bf04D5Eb9405db83f650De0688
Net sender
Unknown type
120.06 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006d6f94092Ef4da38ccF4a5Fcaf42578be48833
Net sender
Unknown type
112.36 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Net receiver
Unknown type
112.36 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
3 tx
129.19 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/22/2026, 2:54:17 P.M.
-1 min
2 tx
63.75 QUAI • 23 addresses
09/22/2026, 2:53:06 P.M.
+1 min
Best candidate7 tx
731.7 QUAI • 25 addresses
09/22/2026, 2:55:29 P.M.
-2 min
2 tx
242.47 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/22/2026, 2:51:54 P.M.
-3 min
8 tx
580.94 QUAI • 23 addresses
09/22/2026, 2:50:43 P.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/22/2026, 2:56:40 P.M.
-4 min
2 tx
262.18 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/22/2026, 2:49:31 P.M.
+4 min
9 tx
689 QUAI • 26 addresses
09/22/2026, 2:57:52 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
152.96 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 2:54:31 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0032931A2bf3C5e97fba0886Ac9E17B005808b3B
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
All transfers in this selected minute
5 transactions
82.06 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 2:54:33 P.M.
From: 0x002D61B41fE3c140AcE8Ad51A4cca7fa48a3cBdE
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x00050017828f3ed3acd0f8005bbcdd3ac3cf76badbf32a0ab31c728463f50ada
152.96 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 2:54:31 P.M.
From: 0x0032931A2bf3C5e97fba0886Ac9E17B005808b3B
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x0025001639527181f1ee719f5cb25c1bf898d091694672003e3c1fc9bb6edb8c
95.3 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 2:54:31 P.M.
From: 0x00422Db0B7172dE5aA4Dad8d17923ea23BC8fEaA
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x002b004275c44f99eaf77c91e8c29e1444c346bdedf5242ae8a4295a9319ef62
120.06 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 2:54:31 P.M.
From: 0x004D4b36cBb213bf04D5Eb9405db83f650De0688
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x003b00177d32a1de0d021212879a0e1e38cd951f6ab4c94d6eb42206c5719df3
112.36 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 2:54:31 P.M.
From: 0x006d6f94092Ef4da38ccF4a5Fcaf42578be48833
To: 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Tx: 0x00460002e13b8cb620017a6f5ecc3ef641aae192d92bf49d5467504b8d0ab8c0