Spike bucket
09/22/2026, 2:48:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/22/2026, 2:48:00 P.M. to 09/22/2026, 2:49:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 15,805.51
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 96% of explained volume
Relative context
6.1x above local average
11x previous minute
60x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
5
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
19
Asset volume
15,605.47 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00109ee0070d8bfCd8B8d5DdD83F417d5327b1D4 • 0x0073406455c0A9fc269BFDf96f9C85d56A886E52.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 15605 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00109ee0070d8bfCd8B8d5DdD83F417d5327b1D4 • 0x0073406455c0A9fc269BFDf96f9C85d56A886E52.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/22/2026, 2:48:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x00109ee0070d8bfCd8B8d5DdD83F417d5327b1D4
Net sender
Unknown type
15,228 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0073406455c0A9fc269BFDf96f9C85d56A886E52
Net receiver
Unknown type
15,228 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Net receiver
Unknown type
463.9 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x00387Bae39612306B4EC444e5F8C5E0c35563BAF
Net sender
Unknown type
242.55 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004D4b36cBb213bf04D5Eb9405db83f650De0688
Net sender
Unknown type
148.58 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate4 tx
15,605.47 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/22/2026, 2:48:19 P.M.
-1 min
5 tx
1,396.14 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/22/2026, 2:47:07 P.M.
-2 min
5 tx
546.61 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/22/2026, 2:45:55 P.M.
+2 min
2 tx
262.18 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/22/2026, 2:49:31 P.M.
-3 min
3 tx
1,203.35 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/22/2026, 2:44:43 P.M.
+3 min
8 tx
580.94 QUAI • 23 addresses
09/22/2026, 2:50:43 P.M.
-4 min
5 tx
693.79 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/22/2026, 2:43:31 P.M.
+4 min
2 tx
242.47 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/22/2026, 2:51:54 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
15,228 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 2:48:05 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00109ee0070d8bfCd8B8d5DdD83F417d5327b1D4
To: 0x0073406455c0A9fc269BFDf96f9C85d56A886E52
All transfers in this selected minute
5 transactions
113.6 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 2:48:48 P.M.
From: 0x00752239b55ca5D2e722Fa2f5b4Dc76E9dF3db9E
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x00520028537caa5fb18fe2442a68c89aece72586ae797e53db1e4378aa296b0c
148.58 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 2:48:48 P.M.
From: 0x004D4b36cBb213bf04D5Eb9405db83f650De0688
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x00250055fe8c145703ad36cfa787e1a8f2c9db20853b9f3b94c8d0ca00fb2e22
242.55 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 2:48:05 P.M.
From: 0x00387Bae39612306B4EC444e5F8C5E0c35563BAF
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x0025000dc68ad79303204ce9124ad7514f7772c09a888e3185067b3f8493c3fc
72.77 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 2:48:05 P.M.
From: 0x0062C7a3aC251EEA521F8e89AC6E4A74D34Ec051
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x003d003e9862958c07487961c7fbc2d208ba7ba0b4e834006079193cceefe34f
15,228 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 2:48:05 P.M.
From: 0x00109ee0070d8bfCd8B8d5DdD83F417d5327b1D4
To: 0x0073406455c0A9fc269BFDf96f9C85d56A886E52
Tx: 0x001e0047fd156f6b63041f88a86f20dfc8c34faecabcce1086cb2614a5e587d6