Spike bucket
09/22/2026, 2:40:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/22/2026, 2:40:00 P.M. to 09/22/2026, 2:41:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 25,441.43
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 60% of explained volume
Relative context
5.4x above local average
89x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Largest nearby bucket
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
5
Observable rows
5
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
9
Asset volume
25,441.43 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x00109ee0070d8bfCd8B8d5DdD83F417d5327b1D4.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 25441 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 60
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x00109ee0070d8bfCd8B8d5DdD83F417d5327b1D4.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/22/2026, 2:40:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net sender
Exchange
15,215.51 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
0x00109ee0070d8bfCd8B8d5DdD83F417d5327b1D4
Net receiver
Unknown type
15,215.51 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0012C441767e7492807a7705c09790cD785D1031
Net sender
Unknown type
9,900 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Net receiver
Unknown type
9,900 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Net receiver
Unknown type
296.83 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 15,215.51 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
6 tx
10,543.62 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/22/2026, 2:39:56 P.M.
-1 min
3 tx
286.74 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/22/2026, 2:38:44 P.M.
+1 min
Best candidate5 tx
25,441.43 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/22/2026, 2:41:08 P.M.
-2 min
4 tx
405.56 QUAI • 6 addresses
09/22/2026, 2:37:33 P.M.
+2 min
1 tx
86.65 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/22/2026, 2:42:20 P.M.
-4 min
2 tx
233.39 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/22/2026, 2:36:22 P.M.
+4 min
5 tx
693.79 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/22/2026, 2:43:31 P.M.
-5 min
2 tx
164.51 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/22/2026, 2:35:10 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
15,215.51 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 2:40:13 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
To: 0x00109ee0070d8bfCd8B8d5DdD83F417d5327b1D4
All transfers in this selected minute
5 transactions
103.89 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 2:40:40 P.M.
From: 0x00108CFC51194215AA43a63a285B8Ebf38D9f64e
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x00340024fa1228fa2831aba16eda47cb135b6013ae5e5f46231b858f59c4a1c6
192.94 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 2:40:40 P.M.
From: 0x002f67c884920007be348B4822f66D4Eaa13D83D
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x0023002e64d421b83e3bf489451bc5ea08aadec4dc91c1620b51e6a473faaa21
29.08 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 2:40:40 P.M.
From: 0x0062C7a3aC251EEA521F8e89AC6E4A74D34Ec051
To: 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Tx: 0x00260061c20f9728378d666f0f5c9a0a3e21dbfb3a784c41d5350c78cd2ca5ee
9,900 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 2:40:40 P.M.
From: 0x0012C441767e7492807a7705c09790cD785D1031
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x003a0049b52ffc82a5f0aa253d2564b7515403f006dc9cf2f4c17c66806756ea
15,215.51 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/22/2026, 2:40:13 P.M.
From: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
To: 0x00109ee0070d8bfCd8B8d5DdD83F417d5327b1D4
Tx: 0x0079005ffb3964987ed49e2ee4de78d3d05363704d7edbde49fbccca1f889ff3